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Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord

05/03/2026, 12:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Fortuna Sittard
1.1
Total xG
2.7
Feyenoord
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
FSFEY

Fortuna Sittard

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第2位, 相差10位)
-0.13
Paul Gladon替补席 (5球, 2助攻)

Feyenoord

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第12位, 相差10位)
+0.07
Jakub Moder未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

28%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

72%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Feyenoord is the favourite according to mathematical analysis with a 46% win probability and 1.57 expected goals
  • Current form favours Feyenoord, who are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws), while Fortuna Sittard suffered 3 losses
  • Feyenoord dominated the last 5 head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, with a goal difference of 6:1
风险因素
  • Fortuna Sittard's goal production is stagnant (average 1.0 goals recently) compared to their season average of 1.45 goals (advancedStats.home.recentFormGoalsAvg)
  • Feyenoord's goal production is stagnant (average 1.75 goals recently) compared to their season average of 2.0 goals, and they recorded 3 draws in their last 5 games (advancedStats.away.recentFormGoalsAvg, awayFormSummary.draws)
  • The Fortuna Sittard Stadion shows a tendency for high-scoring games (average 3.4 goals/game) and both teams often score (5/5 BTTS) (venueStats.avgTotalGoals, venueStats.bttsCount)
概述

Fortuna Sittard (12th place, 36 points) host Feyenoord (2nd place, 58 points) at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The Eredivisie match takes place on May 3, 2026, 2:30 PM. Feyenoord aims to consolidate its position in the top group, while Fortuna Sittard is in the mid-table.

近期状态

Fortuna Sittard's form in the last five games (WLLDL) shows a negative trend with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their last match ended in a loss. Feyenoord is unbeaten in their last five matches (WDDDW) with 2 wins and 3 draws. Feyenoord won their last encounter. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Fortuna Sittard scores an average of 1.41 goals and concedes 1.47 goals in home games. Feyenoord shows strong offensive performance away with an average of 2.08 goals scored and 1.54 goals conceded. Overall, Fortuna Sittard has 3 clean sheets this season, while Feyenoord has 9. The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In these games, both teams scored in 5 out of 5 instances, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord dominated with 3 wins to Fortuna Sittard's 0, with 2 draws. The goal difference is 6:1 in favour of Feyenoord. The last encounter on September 17, 2025, saw Feyenoord win away with a 2-0 score.

关键球员

For Fortuna Sittard, Mohamed Ihattaren (6 goals, 10 assists, average rating 7.26), Kaj Sierhuis (10 goals, 0 assists, average rating 7.04), and the in-form Dimitrios Limnios (2 goals, 5 assists, rising form trend) are key offensive players. For Feyenoord, Ayase Ueda (25 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.41), Anis Hadj Moussa (8 goals, 6 assists, average rating 7.26), and Jordan Bos (4 goals, 7 assists, average rating 7.17) stand out.

门将

Fortuna Sittard with Mattijs Branderhorst recorded 3 clean sheets this season. Feyenoord with Timon Wellenreuther showed a stronger defensive performance with 9 clean sheets.

影响因素

The Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match and 100% BTTS in the last five games. Fortuna Sittard averages 1.41 goals scored at home and concedes 1.47 goals. Feyenoord averages 2.08 goals scored away and concedes 1.54 goals.

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