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Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles - PSV

05/10/2026, 02:45 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Go Ahead Eagles
1.3
Total xG
3.3
PSV
2.1
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
GAEPSV

Go Ahead Eagles

状态上升 (2.3 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第1位, 相差10位)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.05
全员可用

PSV

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍)
+0.77
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.10
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第11位, 相差10位)
+0.10
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.09
Ismael Saibari未进大名单 (15球, 8助攻)
Joey Veerman替补席 (8球, 14助攻)
Mauro Júnior未进大名单 (1球, 9助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅76%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.9球 vs 总体2.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

24%

客胜

55%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

64%

Under 2.5

36%

Over 3.5

42%

Under 3.5

58%

双重机会

主胜或平局

45%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

76%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • PSV's mathematically predicted favorite role with 55% win probability and 2.05 expected goals
  • The offensive strength of PSV with an average of 2.88 goals per season, increasing to 3.0 goals in recent form
  • Go Ahead Eagles' home strength, where they score an average of 1.65 goals and concede only 1.0 goal per game
风险因素
  • PSV shows increased defensive vulnerability in recent form, with an average of 1.8 goals conceded compared to the season average of 1.34
  • Go Ahead Eagles won the last direct encounter against PSV on October 18, 2025, with a score of 2:1
  • The match could be high-scoring, as mathematical analysis predicts a 63% probability for both teams to score and a 64% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述

Go Ahead Eagles (11th place, 38 points) host PSV (1st place, 78 points) at De Adelaarshorst

Eredivisie match on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM

League leaders PSV travel to consolidate their championship ambitions, while Go Ahead Eagles aim to maintain their mid-table position

近期状态

Go Ahead Eagles have shown the form 'LWDDD' in their last five matches

This means 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

The team currently has a streak of 3 draws

PSV's form in the last five games is 'LWWWD'

This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The last game also ended in a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Go Ahead Eagles score an average of 1.63 goals and concede 1.47 goals per season

At home, they average 1.65 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded

PSV is offensively strong with 2.88 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.34 goals

Away, PSV scores 2.79 times and concedes 1.29 goals per game

De Adelaarshorst stadium has seen an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 20% of the games, and 80% of the games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five direct encounters, PSV recorded 4 wins and Go Ahead Eagles 1 win

PSV scored a total of 11 goals, while Go Ahead Eagles scored 4 goals

The last meeting on October 18, 2025, ended 1:2 in favor of Go Ahead Eagles

关键球员

For Go Ahead Eagles, Mathis Suray with 11 season goals and 2 assists, Jakob Breum with 6 season goals and 5 assists, and Victor Edvardsen with 4 season goals and 6 assists are key players

For PSV, Ricardo Pepi with 14 season goals and 1 assist, Guus Til with 13 season goals and 5 assists, and Ivan Perišić with 5 season goals and 10 assists are significant

门将

Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles recorded 9 clean sheets this season

Matej Kovar of PSV kept a clean sheet in 7 games

影响因素

Go Ahead Eagles show a solid defense at home, conceding an average of only 1.0 goals per game

De Adelaarshorst stadium is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

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