Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard - PEC Zwolle
05/10/2026, 02:45 PM
预期进球
1.9
3.1
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
25%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a moderate favoritism for a home win with 51%
- Home offense vs. away defense: Fortuna Sittard's average of 1.47 home goals meets a very vulnerable PEC Zwolle away defense, which concedes 2.94 goals per away game
- Stadium characteristics: The Fortuna Sittard Stadion favors high-scoring games with an average of 3.2 total goals per match and a 100% BTTS rate in the last 5 games
风险因素
- Fortuna Sittard's negative form: The home team shows a negative form trend (advancedStats.home.recentFormTrend)
- Head-to-head record: The historical head-to-head (5 matches) strongly favors PEC Zwolle with 4 wins to 1
- Low shots on target: PEC Zwolle averaged only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Fortuna Sittard (13th place, 36 points) host PEC Zwolle (12th place, 37 points) at the Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The Eredivisie match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM. Both teams are in the lower midfield of the table, separated by only one point.
近期状态
Fortuna Sittard shows poor current form with LLDLL, which translates to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 games. Their last result was a loss.
PEC Zwolle displays mixed form, indicated by WLDLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. They won their last game.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.84 goals conceded per game this season. In home games, the average is 1.47 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded. Overall, both teams scored in 25 matches, and 22 matches had over 2.5 goals.
PEC Zwolle averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2.06 goals conceded per game. Away from home, they scored an average of 1.31 goals but conceded an alarming 2.94 goals. Both teams scored in 22 matches, and 20 matches had over 2.5 goals.
The Fortuna Sittard Stadion has seen an average of 3.2 total goals in the last 5 games. Both teams scored in all 5 of these matches, and 4 out of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard has 1 win and PEC Zwolle has 4 wins. Fortuna Sittard scored 5 goals, while PEC Zwolle scored 11 goals. The last encounter on December 13, 2025, saw PEC Zwolle win 1-0 away. The away team has been dominant in recent meetings.
关键球员
For Fortuna Sittard, key players include Kaj Sierhuis with 11 season goals (1 goal in the last 5 games), Dimitrios Limnios with 2 goals and 6 assists (1 goal, 2 assists in the last 5 games), and Kristoffer Peterson with 3 goals and 2 assists (1 goal in the last 5 games).
For PEC Zwolle, Koen Kostons stands out with 11 season goals and 6 assists, Kaj de Rooij with 6 goals and 6 assists, and Thijs Oosting with 6 goals and 2 assists (2 goals, 1 assist in the last 5 games).
门将
Fortuna Sittard is expected to start with Mattijs Branderhorst in goal, who has 3 clean sheets this season. For PEC Zwolle, Tom de Graaff will be in goal, having achieved 6 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.47 home goals scored and 1.59 home goals conceded. The Fortuna Sittard Stadion is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 total goals per match. In 100% of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were seen in 80%. The playing surface is grass.