Eredivisie
Ajax - FC Utrecht
05/10/2026, 02:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Ajax
FC Utrecht
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
28%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Ajax with 40% probability
- Ajax demonstrates a strong home performance with an average of 1.94 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded per game
- FC Utrecht currently shows an improved offense, scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals)
风险因素
- FC Utrecht concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- The historical head-to-head record favors the away team, with FC Utrecht winning 3 out of the last 5 direct encounters
- Ajax averaged 4.0 shots on target in the last 5 games, while FC Utrecht averaged 8.0 shots on target
概述
Ajax (4th place, 55 points) host FC Utrecht (8th place, 47 points) at the Johan Cruijff Arena
Eredivisie match on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM
Ajax is fighting for a spot in European competition, while FC Utrecht aims to consolidate its mid-table position
近期状态
Ajax's form across all competitions: DLWWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Ajax's last two games were a draw and a win
FC Utrecht's form across all competitions: WLWLW (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
FC Utrecht's last two games were a win and a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Ajax averages 1.94 home goals scored and concedes 0.94 goals per home game
FC Utrecht averages 1.57 away goals scored and concedes 2.0 goals per away game
Ajax kept 6 clean sheets at home, Utrecht 3 away
The Johan Cruijff Arena sees an average of 3.2 goals per game
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams scored and over 2.5 goals were registered
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 1 time, FC Utrecht won 3 times, and there was 1 draw
Ajax scored 8 goals, FC Utrecht scored 12 goals in these encounters
The last meeting on November 9, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht has proven to be the more dominant team in recent encounters
关键球员
Ajax's offense is led by Mika Godts (17 goals, 12 assists, rating 7.63), who recently delivered 3 goals and 3 assists in 5 games
Oscar Gloukh (6 goals, 6 assists, rating 6.94) contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 4 appearances
Steven Berghuis (4 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.35) scored 2 goals in his last 5 games
For FC Utrecht, Gjivai Zechiël (8 goals, 4 assists, rating 7.10) and Dani de Wit (6 goals, 3 assists, rating 6.98) are in rising form with 3 and 2 goals respectively in their last 5 games
Souffian El Karouani (2 goals, 10 assists, rating 7.43) is an important assist provider, but recently showed a slightly declining form
门将
Ajax's goalkeeper Maarten Paes kept 9 clean sheets this season
FC Utrecht's goalkeeper Vasilios Barkas recorded 8 clean sheets
影响因素
The Johan Cruijff Arena is known for many goals with an average of 3.2 goals per game
80% of matches at this stadium saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals
Ajax shows strong home performance with an average of 1.94 goals scored and only 0.94 goals conceded
FC Utrecht is more vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game