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Eredivisie

FC Groningen - NEC Nijmegen

05/10/2026, 02:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
FC Groningen
1.4
Total xG
3.0
NEC Nijmegen
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FGNN

FC Groningen

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (2 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.03
S. Resink未进大名单 (5球, 5助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

NEC Nijmegen

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.27
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
-0.27
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Başar Önal替补席 (7球, 6助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.68
+0.68
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

27%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

73%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • NEC Nijmegen is significantly higher in the league table at 3rd place with 56 points compared to FC Groningen's 10th place
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 44% probability for an NEC Nijmegen away win
  • NEC Nijmegen has been dominant in recent head-to-head encounters with 2 wins out of 3 matches
风险因素
  • NEC Nijmegen's goal production has recently stalled (1.4), while the season average is 2.3
  • NEC Nijmegen drew 4 of their last 5 matches
概述

FC Groningen (10th place, 42 points) hosts NEC Nijmegen (3rd place, 56 points) at Euroborg. Eredivisie match on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM. The visitors are competing for a top league position, while Groningen is in mid-table

近期状态

FC Groningen's form in their last five matches is WWDLL

This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

NEC Nijmegen has a form of DWDDD in their last five games

This means 1 win and 4 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Groningen has averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per game this season

At home, the average is 1.39 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded

NEC Nijmegen has a season average of 2.31 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded

Away from home, NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.33 goals and concedes 1.73 goals

At Euroborg, the last 5 games have seen an average of 3.0 goals

Both teams scored in 3 of these 5 games

4 of these 5 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, FC Groningen won 1 and NEC Nijmegen won 2

Overall, FC Groningen scored 2 goals and NEC Nijmegen scored 9 goals

The last encounter on November 09, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen has been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

FC Groningen's attack is led by Thom van Bergen with 9 goals and 4 assists

Younes Taha contributed 5 goals and 7 assists

Dies Janse, a defender, showed goal threat with 2 goals and 2 assists

For NEC Nijmegen, Bryan Linssen is a key offensive player with 11 goals and 7 assists

Tjaronn Chery scored 10 goals and provided 6 assists

Sami Ouaissa was involved in 6 goals and 5 assists

门将

Etienne Vaessen of FC Groningen recorded 10 clean sheets in 27 appearances

Gonzalo Crettaz of NEC Nijmegen kept 5 clean sheets in 29 appearances

影响因素

FC Groningen scored an average of 1.39 goals and conceded 0.94 goals at home

NEC Nijmegen scored an average of 2.33 goals and conceded 1.73 goals away

The Euroborg has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches

3 of these 5 matches ended with both teams scoring

In 4 of these 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

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