FC Twente (5th place, 55 points) host Sparta Rotterdam (9th place, 43 points) in the Eredivisie at De Grolsch Veste stadium. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM. FC Twente aims to solidify its position in the top half of the table, while Sparta Rotterdam seeks to climb further. The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for FC Twente with a probability of 48%.

FC Twente's form across all competitions is WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). Their last two games ended in draws, including a 2-2 away against AZ and a 1-1 at home against NEC Nijmegen. Sparta Rotterdam's form (WDLLD) includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. They recently drew 2-2 at home against Go Ahead Eagles, following a 1-4 away loss to Telstar. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

FC Twente averages 1.69 goals scored per game and 1.09 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded. Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.19 goals scored per game and 1.72 goals conceded. Away, they score 1.19 goals and concede 1.94 goals per game. FC Twente recorded 7 clean sheets this season, while Sparta Rotterdam managed 11. At De Grolsch Veste stadium, the average total goals are 2.4 per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of the last 5 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of games.

In 5 direct encounters, FC Twente secured 3 wins, Sparta Rotterdam zero wins, and 2 matches ended in a draw. FC Twente holds a clear goal advantage with 12 scored versus Sparta Rotterdam's 5. The last encounter on September 19, 2025, saw FC Twente win 5-1 away against Sparta Rotterdam.

FC Twente's offense is driven by Sam Lammers (6 goals, 7 assists, avg rating 7.14), Kristian Hlynsson (9 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.04), and Daan Rots (8 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.02). Sam Lammers shows a rising form trend with 1 goal and 5 assists in his last 5 games. For Sparta Rotterdam, Tobias Lauritsen (12 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.29), Shunsuke Mito (7 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.05), and Mitchell van Bergen (3 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 6.88) are key contributors. Mitchell van Bergen shows a rising form trend with 2 assists in his last 4 games.

FC Twente's starting goalkeeper is Przemyslaw Tyton, who has 1 season appearance. The regular goalkeeper Lars Unnerstall is injured. Sparta Rotterdam features Joël Drommel, who played 32 games this season with an average rating of 7.21. FC Twente achieved 7 clean sheets this season, while Sparta Rotterdam recorded 11 clean sheets.

FC Twente holds a home advantage, scoring an average of 1.67 home goals and conceding 1.07. Sparta Rotterdam's away performance shows an average of 1.19 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded. De Grolsch Veste stadium is historically known for an average of 2.4 total goals per game. In the last five matches at this venue, both teams scored in 60% of cases.