Eredivisie
Excelsior - FC Volendam
05/10/2026, 02:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%2:0
10%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Excelsior
FC Volendam
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
29%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Excelsior is expected to win with a probability of 51%
- Form advantage: Excelsior is unbeaten in two games and shows a positive form trend
- Excelsior offensive strength: Excelsior is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)
风险因素
- Limited offensive strength for Volendam due to missing key players: Only 77% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, Brandley Kuwas (5G/4A), Robin van Cruijsen (4G/3A), Joel Ideho (1G/1A) are missing
- Weak away defense for FC Volendam with an average of 3.1 goals conceded per away game
- Goalkeeper change for Volendam: Regular goalkeeper K. van Oevelen is injured, Roy Steur with only one season appearance must start
概述
Excelsior (14th place, 34 points) host FC Volendam (16th place, 31 points) at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Eredivisie match on May 10, 2026, 4:45 PM
This is a crucial relegation battle between two teams separated by only 3 points
近期状态
Excelsior's recent form is D-L-D-W-W
They recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The last game was a 3-2 away win against FC Groningen
FC Volendam's form is L-D-L-W-L
They had 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Volendam recently lost 0-2 to SC Heerenveen
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Excelsior averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.66 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they average 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded
FC Volendam averages 1.03 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Volendam concedes an average of 3.1 goals while scoring 1.0 goals
Excelsior had both teams score in 20 matches and over 2.5 goals in 20 matches
Volendam had both teams score in 18 matches and over 2.5 goals in 19 matches
Excelsior's home matches at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion averaged 2.8 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 2, FC Volendam won 1, and there were 0 draws
Excelsior scored 7 goals, while FC Volendam scored 4 goals
The last encounter was on September 20, 2025, with Excelsior winning 2-1 away
Excelsior has recently been the dominant team in direct comparisons
关键球员
For Excelsior, Derensili Sanches Fernandes is a key player with 5 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, and an average rating of 7.79
Noah Naujoks has contributed 9 goals and 1 assist this season
Gyan de Regt has recorded 3 goals and 6 assists this season
For FC Volendam, Robert Mühren is an important player with 6 goals and 1 assist this season
Anthony Descotte has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Bilal Ould-Chikh provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
门将
Excelsior's goalkeeper, Stijn van Gassel, played in 30 season games and kept 6 clean sheets
For FC Volendam, Roy Steur has started 1 season game and achieved no clean sheets
影响因素
Excelsior has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with 16:15 goals on artificial turf
FC Volendam has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with 13:12 goals on artificial turf
The home advantage for Excelsior is evident with 1.19 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per home game