Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen - Ajax
05/17/2026, 12:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
SC Heerenveen
Ajax
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
26%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for SC Heerenveen with a probability of 51%
- SC Heerenveen showed a strong offensive performance in the last 5 home games, averaging 5.2 shots on target
- The Abe Lenstra Stadion has a high goal rate with an average of 4.0 goals per game and 100% over 2.5 in the last 5 matches
风险因素
- SC Heerenveen is without M. Rivera (Hamstring Injury), L. Smans (Knee Injury), and A. Van Axel Dongen (Thigh Muscle Strain)
- Ajax is missing O. Edvardsen (Unknown Injury), V. Jaroš (Knee Injury), J. Heerkens (Ankle Injury), O. Wijndal (Unknown Injury), O. Zinchenko (Cruciate Ligament Injury), and K. Fitz-Jim (Shoulder Injury)
概述
SC Heerenveen (8th place, 50 points) hosts Ajax (5th place, 55 points) at the Abe Lenstra Stadion
Eredivisie match on May 17, 2026, 2:30 PM
Heerenveen is vying for a respectable mid-table finish, while Ajax aims to qualify for European competitions
近期状态
SC Heerenveen's form across all competitions is WLWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Their last match resulted in a loss
Ajax shows a form of LWWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Ajax's last match was also a loss
In their last five home games, Heerenveen recorded 3 wins and 2 losses, while Ajax registered 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses away from home
统计数据
SC Heerenveen averages 1.73 goals scored per game and concedes 1.61 goals
At home, they average 1.74 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded
Ajax averages 1.88 goals scored per game and concedes 1.24 goals
Away from home, they average 1.88 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded
SC Heerenveen has kept 4 clean sheets this season, Ajax has 9
The Abe Lenstra Stadion has seen an average of 4.0 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in all 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, SC Heerenveen has 1 win, Ajax has 3 wins, and there has been 1 draw
SC Heerenveen scored 5 goals, while Ajax scored 10 goals
The last encounter on November 1, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
Ajax has been the more dominant side in recent away head-to-head fixtures
关键球员
Jacob Trenskow is a key attacker for Heerenveen with 12 goals and 5 assists in 32 season appearances
Joris van Overeem has proven to be an effective midfielder with 9 assists and 2 goals in 32 games
Dylan Vente contributed to the offense with 7 goals and 2 assists in 29 appearances
Mika Godts is Ajax's top scorer with 17 goals and 12 assists in 31 season appearances
Wout Weghorst has been a crucial asset with 8 goals and 4 assists in 26 games
Davy Klaassen scored 6 goals and 2 assists in 28 season appearances for Ajax
门将
SC Heerenveen's goalkeeper, Bernt Klaverboer, played 28 season matches
Ajax goalkeeper Maarten Paes made 10 season appearances
SC Heerenveen kept 4 clean sheets this season, while Ajax recorded 9
影响因素
The Abe Lenstra Stadion is a high-scoring venue, averaging 4.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in all of these 5 games
SC Heerenveen showed good home scoring statistics with an average of 1.74 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded