🇳🇱

Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles

05/17/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
NEC Nijmegen
2.3
Total xG
3.3
Go Ahead Eagles
1.0
最可能的比分

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
NNGAE

NEC Nijmegen

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2.3 赛季平均)
-0.32
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第12位, 相差8位)
+0.09
Eli Dasa替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Go Ahead Eagles

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.49
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.34
状态上升 (2.7 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.34
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第4位, 相差8位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.01
Aske Adelgaard未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

21%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

85%

Under 1.5

15%

Over 2.5

63%

Under 2.5

37%

Over 3.5

41%

Under 3.5

59%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

80%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for NEC Nijmegen with a 67% probability
  • NEC Nijmegen's strong home offense, averaging 2.29 goals per home game, faces a weak Go Ahead Eagles defense that concedes 2.25 goals per away game
  • According to tactical analysis, NEC Nijmegen has been possession-dominant (57% possession) in their last 5 games, with an average of 5.0 shots on target
风险因素
  • Go Ahead Eagles concede an average of 2.25 goals per away game
  • NEC Nijmegen's goal production has been declining in the last 5 games, with only 1.2 goals per match compared to their season average of 2.3 goals
  • The historical head-to-head record shows that Go Ahead Eagles won 3 of the last 5 matches against NEC Nijmegen and did not lose any
概述

NEC Nijmegen (4th place, 56 points) host Go Ahead Eagles (12th place, 38 points) at Goffertstadion. The Eredivisie match is on May 17, 2026, 2:30 PM. NEC is fighting for a European spot, while Go Ahead Eagles aims to stay clear of the relegation zone.

近期状态

NEC Nijmegen shows a form of WDDDL

This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games

Go Ahead Eagles also has a form of WDDDL

With 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

NEC suffered a loss in their last game after three consecutive draws

Go Ahead Eagles also suffered a loss in their last game after three consecutive draws

统计数据

NEC Nijmegen scores an average of 2.27 goals per game and concedes 1.58 goals

Go Ahead Eagles scores an average of 1.61 goals and concedes 1.55 goals

At home, NEC is strong offensively with an average of 2.29 goals per home game

The home defense allows 1.41 goals per match

Go Ahead Eagles is more vulnerable away with 2.25 goals conceded per away game

At Goffertstadion, the last 5 games saw an average of 3.2 goals per match

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 3 out of 5 games had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches over recent years, NEC Nijmegen has not secured a single win

Go Ahead Eagles won 3 games, and 2 ended in a draw

The goal difference of 6:13 clearly favors Go Ahead Eagles

The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw

The recent record indicates a dominance by Go Ahead Eagles

关键球员

For NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (11 season goals, 7 assists) shows a slightly declining form with 2 goals in 5 games

Tjaronn Chery (10 season goals, 6 assists) maintains his form with 1 goal in 5 games

Sami Ouaissa (6 season goals, 6 assists) is improving with 3 assists in his last 5 matches

For Go Ahead Eagles: Mathis Suray (12 season goals, 2 assists) scored 2 goals in his last 5 games

Victor Edvardsen (4 season goals, 6 assists) contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Jakob Breum (6 season goals, 5 assists) recorded 1 assist in his last 5 matches

门将

Gonzalo Crettaz of NEC Nijmegen kept 5 clean sheets this season

Jari De Busser of Go Ahead Eagles recorded 9 clean sheets

影响因素

NEC Nijmegen has a home advantage with an average of 2.29 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded in home games

At Goffertstadion, the last 5 games averaged 3.2 total goals

Both teams scored in 80% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were seen in 60%

The match takes place on grass

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