🇳🇱

Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior

05/17/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Sparta Rotterdam
1.6
Total xG
3.1
Excelsior
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SREXC

Sparta Rotterdam

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
Mitchell van Bergen替补席 (3球, 4助攻)

Excelsior

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.28
Emil Hansson替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

27%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

60%

Under 2.5

40%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

63%

否

37%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a close game with a slight home tendency (40% home win) and a high probability for both teams to score (63% BTTS)
  • Excelsior shows a positive form trend with recently increased goal production (averaging 2.2 goals), while Sparta Rotterdam's offense is stagnant (0.8 goals)
  • The away team Excelsior averaged 5.6 shots on target in the last 5 games, while Sparta Rotterdam only had 2.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Sparta Rotterdam averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Excelsior concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Sparta Rotterdam's goal production shows a negative trend and has recently stagnated (0.8 goals)
概述

Sparta Rotterdam (10th place, 43 points) host Excelsior (14th place, 35 points) at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Eredivisie match on May 17, 2026, 2:30 PM

Both teams are in the middle of the table, with Excelsior closer to the relegation zone

近期状态

Sparta Rotterdam shows poor form in the last five games with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses (DLLDL)

Excelsior, on the other hand, is in better shape with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (LDWWD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The home team scored 3 goals and conceded 12 in these matches

Excelsior scored 11 goals and conceded 7 in their last five away games

统计数据

Sparta Rotterdam averages 1.15 goals scored per game and concedes 1.79 goals

At home, they score 1.19 goals and concede 1.5 goals

Excelsior averages 1.21 goals scored and concedes 1.64 goals per game

Away from home, Excelsior scores 1.18 goals and concedes 1.88 goals

Sparta Rotterdam kept 11 clean sheets, while Excelsior managed 6

Both teams scored in 14 of Sparta's games and 21 of Excelsior's games

Sparta's home ground sees an average of 2.4 goals per game

历史交锋

In 3 direct duels so far, Sparta Rotterdam has secured 2 wins, while Excelsior won 1 match

There were no draws

Sparta Rotterdam scored a total of 6 goals, with Excelsior scoring 4

The last encounter on September 14, 2025, ended in a 0-1 away win for Sparta Rotterdam

关键球员

Key players for Sparta Rotterdam include Tobias Lauritsen (12 goals, 4 assists), Shunsuke Mito (7 goals, 3 assists), and Joshua Kitolano (5 goals, 2 assists)

For Excelsior, Derensili Sanches Fernandes (6 goals, 3 assists), Noah Naujoks (9 goals, 1 assist), and Gyan de Regt (3 goals, 6 assists) stand out

Derensili Sanches Fernandes shows a rising form trend

门将

Joël Drommel is in goal for Sparta Rotterdam, having kept 11 clean sheets this season

For Excelsior, Stijn van Gassel is the number one and managed to keep a clean sheet in 6 games

影响因素

At Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel, an average of 2.4 goals per game were scored in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and only 1 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

On artificial turf, Sparta Rotterdam has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses with a goal difference of 12:13

Excelsior scored 15 goals and conceded 15 goals in 10 games on artificial turf, with 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。