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Eredivisie

FC Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard

05/17/2026, 12:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
FC Utrecht
1.9
Total xG
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

3:1

6%

3:0

6%
xG 分解
FUFS

FC Utrecht

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.44
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.18
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.18
Ángel Alarcón未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Artem Stepanov替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Matisse Didden未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Fortuna Sittard

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.08
P. Gladon未进大名单 (5球, 2助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅75%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

24%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

76%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 58% probability
  • Utrecht's home strength: FC Utrecht concedes an average of only 0.72 goals per home game
  • Form trend: FC Utrecht currently scores more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals), while Fortuna Sittard's goal production is faltering (1.2 goals compared to 1.5 goals season average)
风险因素
  • Fortuna's weakened attack: P. Gladon is suspended, resulting in 22% missing goal production
  • Fortuna's away defense: Fortuna Sittard concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
  • Head-to-head record: Fortuna Sittard dominated recent direct encounters and won the last away game
概述

FC Utrecht (7th place, 50 points) host Fortuna Sittard (11th place, 39 points) at Stadion Galgenwaard. The Eredivisie match takes place on May 17, 2026, 2:30 PM. Utrecht is fighting for a European spot, while Fortuna Sittard aims for a secure mid-table position

近期状态

FC Utrecht's current form (LWLWW) shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, including 2 consecutive wins. Recent results include a 2-1 away win against Ajax and a 2-0 home win against NAC Breda. Fortuna Sittard (LDLLW) recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games. They recently secured a 3-2 home win against PEC Zwolle, followed by losses to Feyenoord and SC Heerenveen. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

FC Utrecht averages 1.61 goals scored per game and concedes 1.27 goals. At home, Utrecht shows strong defensive performance with an average of 1.61 goals scored and only 0.72 goals conceded. Fortuna Sittard averages 1.48 goals scored per game and 1.85 goals conceded. Away from home, Fortuna Sittard concedes an average of 2.29 goals per match and has zero clean sheets in away games this season. Utrecht recorded 8 clean sheets this season, compared to Fortuna Sittard's 3. Utrecht saw both teams score in 20 matches and over 2.5 goals in 17 matches. Fortuna Sittard had both teams score in 26 matches and over 2.5 goals in 23 matches. The previous 5 matches at Stadion Galgenwaard averaged 2.6 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 matches

历史交锋

In the 5 direct encounters between these teams, FC Utrecht claimed 1 win, there were 2 draws, and Fortuna Sittard secured 2 wins. The goal difference is balanced at 6:6. The last meeting on September 20, 2025, ended in a 1-0 away victory for Fortuna Sittard

关键球员

For FC Utrecht, Gjivai Zechiël is crucial with 8 season goals and 5 assists, maintaining stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Dani de Wit is also key with 6 goals and 3 assists, showing rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances. Souffian El Karouani, with 2 goals and 11 assists, is important despite a recent dip in form. For Fortuna Sittard, Kaj Sierhuis stands out with 12 season goals and 1 assist, showing stable form with 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Dimitrios Limnios contributed 2 goals and 6 assists, with 2 assists in his last 5 appearances. Philip Brittijn provided 4 goals and 1 assist, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 matches

门将

Vasilios Barkas, FC Utrecht's goalkeeper, played 32 season matches and kept 8 clean sheets. Mattijs Branderhorst, Fortuna Sittard's goalkeeper, made 23 season appearances and achieved 3 clean sheets

影响因素

FC Utrecht displays a clear home advantage, averaging 1.61 goals scored and conceding only 0.72 goals at home. Venue statistics at Galgenwaard show an average of 2.6 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 matches

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