Bundesliga
FC Union Berlin - Borussia Dortmund
01/24/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.3
1.7
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
35%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
42%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Dortmund's superior offense (1.94 goals/game) meets Union's solid home defense (1.18 goals conceded/game), which is the central duel of the match
- Dortmund's historical H2H dominance (4 of 5 wins) contrasts with the stats of the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, which favors goals from both sides (80% BTTS rate), suggesting potential for an upset
- Both teams are in good form, with Union unbeaten in 5 games (WWDDD) and Dortmund winning 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), pointing towards a tight contest
风险因素
- The predicted goals (1.60 vs 1.66) indicate a very balanced game where small details could be decisive, making the outcome unpredictable
- Both teams are facing key absences: Union Berlin is missing suspended defender Derrick Köhn, while Dortmund midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is doubtful
概述
FC Union Berlin, in 9th place with 24 points, hosts 2nd-placed Borussia Dortmund with 39 points. The Bundesliga match takes place on January 24, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. It's a clash between a mid-table team and a title contender.
近期状态
FC Union Berlin: WWDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last 5 games, Union Berlin secured 2 wins and 3 draws, remaining unbeaten
Borussia Dortmund: WDWWL
Dortmund recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
Both teams are in strong form, though Dortmund has achieved more victories
统计数据
Borussia Dortmund has the stronger attack with an average of 1.94 goals per game compared to Union Berlin's 1.33
Defensively, Dortmund is also superior, conceding only 0.94 goals on average, while Union concedes 1.5
At the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, games average 3.0 total goals, and in 80% of recent matches, both teams scored
Union Berlin scored in 11 of 18 league games, while Borussia Dortmund scored in 9 of 18.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 4 wins, while FC Union Berlin won only once
The goal difference is 16:4 in favor of Dortmund
The last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund has been the clearly superior team in recent meetings
关键球员
Andrej Ilic has provided 8 assists for Union Berlin this season
Woo-yeong Jeong is showing rising form, having scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances
For Borussia Dortmund, Julian Brandt has contributed 5 goals and 2 assists this season
Defender Nico Schlotterbeck is also a goal threat with 2 seasonal goals and boasts a high average rating of 7.40
门将
Union Berlin's Frederik Rönnow has kept 4 clean sheets in 18 matches
Borussia Dortmund's Gregor Kobel has already kept 9 clean sheets in 18 games, leading the league in this statistic
影响因素
The statistics for the Stadion An der Alten Försterei suggest a high-scoring game, with a goal rate of 3.0 per match and an 80% rate for 'Both Teams to Score' in the last five fixtures
Borussia Dortmund has a stronger record on natural grass with 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, compared to Union Berlin's 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses