Bundesliga
FC Köln - VfL Wolfsburg
01/30/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.9
1.4
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
34%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
61%
否
39%
关键因素
- Wolfsburg's extremely weak away defense (2.5 goals conceded per game) meets Köln's solid home record (1.25 goals conceded)
- Both attacks rely on in-form individuals: Dzenan Pejcinovic for Wolfsburg (5 goals in his last 5 appearances) and Ragnar Ache for Köln
- The stadium's statistics (3.4 average goals, 80% BTTS) and the high BTTS rate of both teams suggest a high-scoring game
风险因素
- The poor overall form of both teams (only 1 win each in the last 5 games) makes the outcome unpredictable
- Both defenses are vulnerable, with Wolfsburg conceding over 2 goals per game on average this season
- Numerous injuries in defense for both sides could further compromise their defensive stability
概述
FC Köln (10th place, 20 points) hosts VfL Wolfsburg (12th place, 19 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion. This Bundesliga match takes place on January 30, 2026, at 8:30 PM. It is a direct mid-table clash with only one point separating the two teams.
近期状态
Both teams are in poor form. FC Köln: LDLWL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat against SC Freiburg. VfL Wolfsburg: LLWDL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). They also lost their last game 1-3 against FSV Mainz 05. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, both teams are level with 28 goals each in 19 games (average 1.47 per game). Defensively, Wolfsburg is significantly more vulnerable, having conceded 41 goals (2.16 average), while Köln has conceded 32 (1.68 average). Wolfsburg's defense is particularly weak away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams have scored in 14 of Köln's 19 matches, and in 15 of Wolfsburg's 19 matches.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, VfL Wolfsburg has the edge with 2 wins to FC Köln's 1, with 2 matches ending in a draw. The goal difference is slightly in Wolfsburg's favor at 10-9. The last meeting ended in a 3-3 draw.
关键球员
For Köln, Ragnar Ache is in rising form with 2 goals in his last 5 games. Alessio Castro-Montes has recently stood out with 3 assists. Said El Mala is a key attacker with 7 goals this season. For Wolfsburg, Dzenan Pejcinovic is in top form with 5 goals in his last 5 appearances. Mohamed Amoura has already scored 7 goals this season, while Christian Eriksen has been a creative force with 4 assists.
门将
Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln has kept 2 clean sheets this season. Kamil Grabara, the VfL Wolfsburg goalkeeper, has managed one clean sheet so far.
影响因素
The home advantage for Köln could be a factor, as their home record (1.25 goals conceded per game) is more solid than Wolfsburg's away record (2.5 goals conceded per game). The statistics for the RheinEnergieStadion suggest a high-scoring game, with an average of 3.4 goals per match and an 80% rate for 'Both teams to score' in the last five fixtures.