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Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim
02/01/2026, 04:30 PM
3 : 2
预期进球
Borussia Dortmund
1.7
Total xG
2.9
Heidenheim
1.2
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
23%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
41%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
63%
否
37%
关键因素
- Difference in class: Second-placed Dortmund with a strong home record (1.9 goals per game) meets bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim with the weakest away defense (2.5 goals conceded per game)
- Form discrepancy: Dortmund has won 3 of their last 5 games, while Heidenheim is winless in 5, suffering 3 defeats in the process
- Historical superiority: Dortmund is unbeaten in 5 head-to-head encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) with a goal difference of 10:5
风险因素
- Declining offense: According to advanced stats, Dortmund's goal output has recently dropped from 2.1 to 1.8 goals per game
- Home vulnerability: Despite being favorites, Dortmund lost their last home game 0-2 to Inter, indicating some vulnerability
概述
Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 42 points) hosts Heidenheim (18th place, 13 points) at Signal Iduna Park
近期状态
Bundesliga match on February 1, 2026, 5:30 PM
统计数据
Borussia Dortmund: WWLWL - 3 wins, 2 losses from the last 5 games
历史交锋
A clear duel between a title contender and a relegation candidate
关键球员
Heidenheim: LDLDL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses from the last 5 games
门将
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
影响因素
Heidenheim has never won against Dortmund