Admiral Bundesliga
Sturm Graz - Ried
02/08/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.7
1.6
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
25%
客胜
48%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
33%
双重机会
主胜或平局
52%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Drastic differences in form: Ried is on the rise with four wins from five games, while Sturm Graz shows a negative trend with three losses.
- Sturm Graz's defensive vulnerability at home: Conceding an average of 2.8 goals per home game, Sturm's defense presents a major vulnerability.
- Ried's strong away offense: Ried is currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals on average) than their season average and faces a vulnerable home defense.
风险因素
- Sturm Graz's historical dominance: Ried has failed to win any of the last five head-to-head matches, which could be a psychological disadvantage.
- Absence of key players for Sturm: The absence of important players responsible for a combined 26% of goals and 53% of assists significantly weakens the team.
- Sturm Graz needs to win: As the fourth-placed team, Sturm Graz is under pressure to secure points at home to keep up with the top, which could lead to risky play.
概述
Sturm Graz (4th place, 28 points) hosts Ried (6th place, 26 points) at the Merkur Arena. The Admiral Bundesliga match will take place on February 8, 2026, at 5:00 PM. It's a tight clash in the upper half of the table, with only two points separating the teams.
近期状态
Sturm Graz: WLLLW – 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in the last 5 games. Ried: WLWWW – 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games. Ried is in significantly better form, having won their last three matches in a row. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Sturm Graz scores an average of 1.59 goals per game, while Ried scores 1.35. Both teams concede an average of 1.35 goals. A notable weakness for Sturm Graz is their home defense, which allows an average of 2.8 goals per game. Ried's away record is more balanced, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. The Merkur Arena sees an average of 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Sturm Graz has been dominant with 3 wins, while Ried has not won a single game; 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference is clearly in favor of Sturm Graz at 9:5. The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Sturm Graz.
关键球员
Otar Kiteishvili is the top scorer for Sturm Graz with 8 season goals, complemented by Tomi Horvat with 5 assists. For Ried, Kingstone Mutandwa is the biggest goal threat with 8 season goals as well. Philipp Pomer contributes significantly to the attack with 3 goals and 3 assists.
门将
Matteo Bignetti will be in goal for Sturm Graz, while Andreas Leitner plays for Ried. Sturm Graz has kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Ried has managed this in 5 matches.
影响因素
The Merkur Arena averages 2.4 goals per game, with a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'. Sturm Graz has a negative record on natural grass with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses. Ried's record on this surface is balanced with 4 wins and 4 losses. A crucial factor is Sturm Graz's home weakness, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per home game.