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Admiral Bundesliga

Grazer AK - Salzburg

02/15/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Grazer AK
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Salzburg
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:0

5%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

30%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Offensive Superiority: Salzburg scores nearly twice as many goals on average (2.0) as Grazer AK (1.06), and is particularly potent away from home
  • Contrasting League Form: Salzburg is unbeaten in its last five league games, while Grazer AK has been winless in the same period
  • Historical Dominance: Salzburg is undefeated in the last five head-to-head encounters (3 wins, 2 draws) and won the last meeting convincingly 5-0
风险因素
  • Significant Offensive Absences: Both teams are missing key attackers, leaving GAK with only 58% and Salzburg with only 61% of their usual goal-scoring threat, which could lead to a low-scoring game
  • Salzburg's Dip in Form: The visitors have lost their last two competitive matches, indicating a short-term slump that GAK might exploit
  • Low-Scoring Venue: The Merkur Arena has recently hosted low-scoring games (1.8 average), which could counteract the offensive strengths of both teams
概述

Grazer AK, in 11th place with 16 points, hosts title contenders Salzburg, who are 2nd with 32 points

The Admiral Bundesliga match takes place on February 15, 2026, at 2:30 PM at the Merkur Arena

The roles are clearly defined, with the home team entering the match as the clear underdog

近期状态

Grazer AK's form from the last five games across all competitions is WWLLD (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

Salzburg's form is LWWLL (2 wins, 3 losses), with their last two games ending in defeat

In the league, however, the picture is different: Salzburg is unbeaten in five games (DWWWD), while Grazer AK is winless in their last five (DLDDL)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Salzburg has a significantly stronger offense, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Grazer AK's 1.06

Defensively, Salzburg is also more stable, conceding an average of only 1.28 goals per game, while GAK concedes 1.72

Salzburg remains very dangerous on the road, scoring 2.0 goals per away game

In 12 of 18 season matches for both teams, both teams scored

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Grazer AK has failed to secure a win

Salzburg won three of these matches, while two ended in a draw

The goal difference is clearly in Salzburg's favor at 10:3

The last meeting ended in a dominant 5-0 victory for Salzburg

关键球员

For Grazer AK, Daniel Maderner is the top scorer with 5 season goals

Tobias Koch has proven to be an important provider with 2 assists

For Salzburg, Kerim Alajbegovic is in outstanding form, having scored 6 goals this season

Edmund Baidoo has also contributed with 5 goals and 2 assists

门将

Franz Stolz is in goal for Grazer AK, making his first appearance of the season; the team has kept 2 clean sheets so far

Alexander Schlager is Salzburg's first-choice goalkeeper with 17 appearances, helping his team to 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Salzburg proves to be very strong on the road, averaging 2.0 goals per away game

Grazer AK's home record is rather mixed, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 goals conceded per game

Statistics from the Merkur Arena suggest a tendency for low-scoring games, with an average of just 1.8 goals in the last five matches

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