Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - FC Augsburg
02/07/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
29%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
25%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Augsburg's glaring defensive weakness away from home (2.25 goals conceded per game) meets a recently potent Mainz attack (2.0 goals average in recent games)
- Both teams are in good form, having won their last two matches, which points to a balanced and competitive game
- The historical comparison clearly favors Mainz, who won 3 of the last 5 encounters and the most recent one 4:1
风险因素
- Both teams have a significant number of injured players, which could impact squad depth and tactical options
- The venue's trend towards low-scoring games (2.0 average goals) contradicts the teams' season statistics and could lead to a tighter result than expected
概述
FSV Mainz 05 (16th place, 18 points) hosts FC Augsburg (11th place, 22 points) at the Mewa Arena
The Bundesliga match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 3:30 PM
For Mainz, it is a crucial match in the relegation battle to avoid losing contact with the mid-table
近期状态
FSV Mainz 05: DWLWW - 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from the last five matches
FC Augsburg: LDDWW - 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from the last five matches
Both teams enter the game on a streak of two consecutive wins
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, both teams are nearly level with 1.15 goals per game (Mainz) and 1.20 (Augsburg)
Defensively, Augsburg is significantly more vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.85 goals per game, while Mainz concedes 1.65
Augsburg's defense is particularly weak away from home, allowing an average of 2.25 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct duels, FSV Mainz 05 has the upper hand with 3 wins, one draw, and one loss
The goal difference also favors Mainz at 9:5
The last encounter ended in a clear 4:1 victory for Mainz
关键球员
For Mainz, Nadiem Amiri is a key factor with 7 season goals and excellent form (4 goals in his last 4 appearances)
For Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice stands out, having been involved in 4 goals in his last 5 games (2 goals, 2 assists)
门将
Daniel Batz is expected to start in goal for Mainz, holding a strong average rating of 7.14 in 8 appearances this season
At Augsburg, Finn Dahmen is the number one, having kept 3 clean sheets in 20 matches, while Mainz has only managed this once
影响因素
The Mewa Arena has not been a place for goal-fests recently, with an average of just 2.0 goals in the last five matches
The rate for "Both Teams to Score" in these games was only 40%
Mainz has a record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses on their home grass pitch