Bundesliga
Heidenheim - Hamburger SV
02/07/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- Battle of vulnerable defenses: Heidenheim's general defensive weakness (2.25 goals conceded/game) meets HSV's catastrophic away record (4.5 goals conceded/game)
- Crisis versus resilience: Both teams are winless, but HSV has secured four draws, proving harder to beat than Heidenheim with three losses in five games
- Offensive hope for Heidenheim: The home team's attack shows a positive trend, scoring more frequently recently (1.2 goals/game) than their season average (0.95), which could be decisive against HSV's weak defense
风险因素
- Deceptive form of HSV: Although winless, HSV has drawn against top teams like Bayern Munich, indicating unexpected resilience
- Low goal threat: Both teams have a weak offense over the season with less than one goal per game on average, which could lead to a low-scoring game despite the defensive issues
概述
A crucial duel in the Bundesliga relegation battle takes place at the Voith-Arena, where Heidenheim (18th place, 13 points) hosts Hamburger SV (13th place, 19 points). The match is scheduled for February 7, 2026, at 3:30 PM. For both teams, it's about vital points to avoid losing touch with the non-relegation spots.
近期状态
Both teams are in a form crisis and have been winless for five games.
Heidenheim: DLDLL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
Hamburger SV: DLDDD - 0 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss
HSV is proving hard to beat but mainly collects draws, while Heidenheim has lost more frequently recently.
统计数据
Offensively, both teams perform at a similar level, with about one goal per game each (Heidenheim 0.95, HSV 1.0). The defense is the key difference: Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.25 goals per game, while HSV concedes 1.53. Particularly striking is HSV's extreme away weakness, conceding an average of 4.5 goals in away stadiums. In 15 of Heidenheim's 20 matches, there were over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
So far, there has been only one encounter between these two clubs. Hamburger SV won that match 2-1. Consequently, HSV also leads the head-to-head goal difference 2-1.
关键球员
For Heidenheim, midfielder Julian Niehues is a beacon of hope with 3 goals in his recent games. Stefan Schimmer is the team's top scorer with 5 goals this season. For Hamburger SV, defender Luka Vuskovic is a key player with 4 season goals and strong recent form. Albert Sambi Lokonga has also scored 4 goals for the season, while Fàbio Vieira has provided 3 assists.
门将
In the goalkeeper comparison, Hamburger SV has a statistical advantage. Daniel Heuer Fernandes has kept 5 clean sheets in 19 matches. Heidenheim's goalkeeper Diant Ramaj is yet to keep a clean sheet in 20 season appearances.
影响因素
The Voith-Arena has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals in the last five matches. The decisive factor is likely to be Hamburger SV's extremely vulnerable away defense, which concedes an average of 4.5 goals per game. Both teams are accustomed to the natural grass surface, so no advantage arises from it.