Bundesliga
FC Köln - RB Leipzig
02/08/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.5
1.9
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
28%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
72%
Over 3.5
40%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
68%
否
32%
关键因素
- Leipzig's attacking superiority (1.9 vs 1.45 goals per game) meets a vulnerable Köln defense (1.6 goals conceded per game)
- Historical dominance: Leipzig is unbeaten in the last 5 encounters with a goal difference of 16:4
- Strong defense and goalkeeper performance: Leipzig, with Péter Gulácsi, has kept 9 clean sheets, compared to only 3 for Köln
风险因素
- Leipzig's negative form trend: Recent results have been inconsistent, and their goal output is below the season average
- Köln's home strength: Köln scores an average of 1.5 goals per game at home and could challenge the Leipzig defense
- Absences on both sides: Both teams are missing key players, which could impact their respective performances
概述
FC Köln (10th place, 23 points) host RB Leipzig (6th place, 36 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on February 8, 2026, at 3:30 PM. Köln is looking to solidify their mid-table position, while Leipzig aims to defend their spot in the race for European qualification.
近期状态
FC Köln: DLWLW - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
RB Leipzig: WLWDL - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Both teams have an identical and mixed record in their last five matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
RB Leipzig is stronger offensively, scoring an average of 1.9 goals per game compared to Köln's 1.45. Defensively, Leipzig is also superior, conceding an average of 1.35 goals, while Köln concedes 1.6. In 14 of FC Köln's 20 league games, both teams scored. RB Leipzig has kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 20 matches.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Köln has not won, while RB Leipzig won 3 times, and 2 matches ended in a draw. The goal difference of 16:4 in favor of Leipzig highlights their dominance. The last match was a 3-1 victory for RB Leipzig.
关键球员
For Köln, Said El Mala (7 season goals) and Ragnar Ache, who is on a rising form trend, are crucial offensively. For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner (6 goals, 7 assists) and Yan Diomande (7 goals, 4 assists) are the key figures in attack.
门将
FC Köln's Marvin Schwäbe has kept 3 clean sheets in 20 season appearances. RB Leipzig's Péter Gulácsi has managed 9 clean sheets in 20 games, giving him a statistically superior record.
影响因素
The RheinEnergieStadion has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last five matches, with a 60% rate for 'Both teams to score'. On a natural grass surface, RB Leipzig has a slightly better record (4W-2D-4L) than FC Köln (2W-3D-5L).