Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund
02/07/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.8
1.5
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
38%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
38%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
62%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Difference in class: Second-placed Dortmund faces the team in 14th, a gap reflected in all season statistics
- Defensive vulnerability: Wolfsburg's defense concedes over 2 goals per game on average, while Dortmund has one of the league's strongest defenses
- Historical dominance: Dortmund has clearly dominated recent encounters and enters the match with a psychological advantage
风险因素
- High-scoring venue: The Volkswagen Arena has seen many goals recently (4.0 on average), which could lead to unpredictable results
- Slight downward trend for Dortmund: Dortmund's recent goal tally is slightly below their season average, which could indicate a minor dip in form
- Extensive injury list for Wolfsburg: Although the core goal threat is available, the many absences could affect team chemistry and defensive stability
概述
In the Bundesliga, VfL Wolfsburg (14th place, 19 points) hosts Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 45 points)
The match takes place on February 7, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Volkswagen Arena
Wolfsburg is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Dortmund aims to stay close to the top of the table
近期状态
VfL Wolfsburg: LWDLL - 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from the last five league matches
Borussia Dortmund: WLWLW - 4 wins, 1 draw from the last five league matches
The form curve clearly favors the visitors
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Offensively, Dortmund is clearly superior with an average of 2.05 goals per game (Wolfsburg 1.4)
A similar picture emerges defensively: Dortmund concedes only 0.95 goals per game, whereas Wolfsburg concedes 2.1
Wolfsburg is particularly vulnerable at home, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per game
Wolfsburg has kept only one clean sheet in 20 league games this season, and none at home
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Borussia Dortmund dominated with 4 wins and one draw
The goal difference of 10:2 in favor of Dortmund highlights their superiority
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund is considered historically dominant
关键球员
Mohamed Amoura is Wolfsburg's top scorer with 7 season goals
Dzenan Pejcinovic has scored 5 goals, while Christian Eriksen shines with 4 assists
For Borussia Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy is the most successful striker with 8 goals
Maximilian Beier has 6 goals, and Julian Brandt has scored 5 times
门将
VfL Wolfsburg's Kamil Grabara has kept one clean sheet in 20 season appearances
Borussia Dortmund's Gregor Kobel has already managed 10 clean sheets in 20 matches
影响因素
The Volkswagen Arena has recently been the scene of high-scoring games, with an average of 4.0 goals per match
In Wolfsburg's last 5 home games, both teams have always scored
Wolfsburg has a negative home record on natural grass this season (3 wins, 2 draws, 5 losses)
Dortmund has a strong away record on the same surface (5 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)