Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim - SC Freiburg
02/14/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.5
1.1
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
30%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage for Hoffenheim: TSG's strong home offense (2.18 goals per game) meets one of the weakest away defenses in the league (Freiburg concedes 2.44 goals)
- Current form and performance: Hoffenheim has been consistently dangerous in front of goal all season, while Freiburg's offense has recently faltered, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, well below their season average
- League position and home strength: As third in the table with an impressive home record, Hoffenheim enters the match as the favorite
风险因素
- Historical record: Freiburg is unbeaten in the last five direct encounters against Hoffenheim (3 wins, 2 draws) and has proven to be a difficult opponent for them
- Psychological factor: Hoffenheim's impressive winning streak ended abruptly with a heavy 1-5 defeat, which could affect their confidence
概述
TSG Hoffenheim (3rd place, 42 points) hosts SC Freiburg (7th place, 30 points) at the PreZero Arena
The Bundesliga match takes place on February 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM
Hoffenheim aims to solidify its position among the top teams, while Freiburg looks to stay in touch with the European places
近期状态
TSG Hoffenheim's form from the last five competitive matches is WWWWL (4 wins, 1 loss)
The recent defeat ended a previous winning streak
Their league-only form is WLWLD
SC Freiburg comes into the match with a form of WWLLW (3 wins, 2 losses) from their last five games
In the league, their form is LLWWD
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Hoffenheim is particularly strong offensively at home, scoring an average of 2.18 goals per game
Over the entire season, their scoring average is 2.1
Freiburg's defense is especially vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.44 goals
In 14 of Hoffenheim's 21 league games, there have been over 2.5 goals, while for Freiburg this was the case in 13 of 21 games
历史交锋
In the last five direct encounters, TSG Hoffenheim has not won
SC Freiburg won three times, with two matches ending in a draw
The goal difference from these meetings is 10:7 in favor of Freiburg
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw
Freiburg is considered historically dominant based on recent results
关键球员
For TSG Hoffenheim, Andrej Kramaric (9 season goals, 4 assists) and Wouter Burger (4 goals, 6 assists) are key figures
Fisnik Asllani has also made a significant contribution with 6 goals and 5 assists
For SC Freiburg, Vincenzo Grifo is the top scorer with 6 goals
Igor Matanovic has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist so far
门将
Oliver Baumann of TSG Hoffenheim has kept 5 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg, also has 5 clean sheets in the current season
影响因素
The PreZero Arena is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.8 goals per match in the last five games
Hoffenheim's home strength is significant, with an average of 2.18 goals scored versus only 1.18 conceded per home game
This highlights a clear home advantage for TSG