Bundesliga
Werder Bremen - FC Bayern München
02/14/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
0.8
3.0
2.2
0:2
12%1:1
10%1:2
10%0:3
8%1:3
7%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
12%
平局
21%
客胜
67%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
33%
客胜或平局
88%
非平局
79%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Gulf in class on offense: Bayern's attack (avg 3.76 goals) meets Bremen's vulnerable defense (avg 1.86 goals conceded)
- Disparity in form: Bayern arrives with five consecutive league wins, while Bremen is winless in their last five matches (all competitions)
- Historical dominance: Bayern has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 16:1
风险因素
- Bayern's key absence: The absence of M. Olise (10 goals, 16 assists this season) due to suspension could impact creativity in attack
- Slight dip in offensive form: Bayern's goal average dropped to 2.4 in the last five games, compared to their season average of 3.76
概述
Werder Bremen, in 16th place with 19 points, hosts league leaders FC Bayern München with 54 points
The match will take place on February 14, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Wohninvest Weserstadion
It's a classic duel between a relegation candidate and the championship favorite
The mathematical analysis clearly favors the visitors with a 67% probability of winning
近期状态
Werder Bremen's form across all competitions is weak: DLLDL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
Their league form over the last five games is LDWLL
FC Bayern München arrives with a perfect league form of WWWWW
Bayern's overall form is also significantly stronger at WLWDW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
统计数据
The statistical differences are enormous
Bayern München has by far the best offense in the league, averaging 3.76 goals per game, while Bremen scores 1.05
Defensively, Bayern concedes only 0.9 goals per game, whereas Bremen has to accept an average of 1.86 goals against
Bayern has scored in every match this season, while Bremen failed to score in 9 of their 21 games
历史交锋
FC Bayern München has clearly dominated recent head-to-head encounters
In the last 5 meetings, Bayern won 4 times, while Werder Bremen managed only one victory
The goal difference of 16:1 in favor of the Munich side highlights this superiority
The last clash ended with a decisive 4:0 victory for FC Bayern
关键球员
Jens Stage is Werder Bremen's top scorer with 6 goals this season, while Romano Schmid has provided 5 assists
For FC Bayern München, Harry Kane dominates the league with 24 goals and 5 assists
Luis Díaz is another crucial offensive player for the visitors, with 13 goals and 9 assists
门将
Bremen's goalkeeper Mio Backhaus has kept 4 clean sheets in 19 appearances this season
Manuel Neuer in goal for FC Bayern München has already kept 8 clean sheets in 17 matches
影响因素
The Wohninvest Weserstadion has not been a fortress for Werder Bremen this season, with only 12 goals scored and 18 conceded in 11 home games
Bayern München is extremely dangerous away from home, scoring 34 goals in 9 matches while conceding only 9
In Bremen's last 5 home games, there was an average of 3.2 goals per match