Superliga
Fredericia - AGF
02/15/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
3.3
2.2
1:1
10%1:2
10%0:2
9%1:3
7%0:3
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
22%
客胜
60%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
40%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Difference in class and form: League leaders AGF on a four-game winning streak face relegation-battling Fredericia with inconsistent form
- Defensive mismatch: Fredericia's extremely vulnerable defense (3.33 goals conceded per home game) is up against AGF's potent attack (2.0 goals per game)
- Statistical dominance: The models favor an away win with a 60% probability and predict 2.19 goals for AGF, reflecting their clear superiority
风险因素
- Limited historical data: With only a single head-to-head match on record, it is difficult to derive reliable historical patterns
- Risk of complacency: As overwhelming favorites, AGF could underestimate their opponents, who are fighting for survival
- Last-match momentum: Fredericia comes into this game after a 3-2 victory, which could give them a psychological boost
概述
At Monjasa Park, Fredericia, 11th in the table with 17 points, hosts league leaders AGF, who have 43 points
The Superliga match takes place on February 15, 2026, at 2:00 PM
This is a classic top-versus-bottom clash with clearly defined roles
近期状态
Fredericia's form (all competitions): LLWLW
They have won 2 of their last 5 matches and lost 3, indicating inconsistent performance
AGF's form (all competitions): LWWWW
The visitors are in outstanding form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and arrive on a 4-game winning streak
The form curve clearly favors AGF
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
AGF has a significantly stronger attack, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Fredericia's 1.32
The biggest difference is in defense: Fredericia concedes an average of 2.42 goals, and a catastrophic 3.33 per game at home
AGF, on the other hand, is very stable defensively with only 1.0 goal conceded per game
Fredericia has kept only 2 clean sheets, while AGF has managed 6
In Fredericia's matches, there have been more than 2.5 goals in 14 out of 19 cases
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between the two teams so far
AGF won this duel decisively
The match ended 4-1 in favor of AGF
Due to the limited amount of data, the historical significance is limited
关键球员
For Fredericia, Oscar Buch is the most prolific player with 6 goals this season
AGF has a more distributed goal threat in their attack
Tobias Bech is the top scorer with 10 goals
Patrick Mortensen has scored 7 goals this season
Kristian Arnstad has 6 goals and 2 assists
门将
Fredericia's goalkeeper is Valdemar Birksø Thorsen
The team has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Jesper Hansen in goal for AGF has a much better record
His team has already kept a clean sheet 6 times
影响因素
Matches at Monjasa Park tend to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Fredericia has an extremely weak home record, conceding an average of 3.33 goals per home match
AGF, in contrast, is very strong away, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per away game
The combination of Fredericia's home weakness and AGF's away strength is a decisive factor