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Superliga

Sønderjyske Fodbold - Odense BK

03/01/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Sønderjyske Fodbold
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Odense BK
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SFOB

Sønderjyske Fodbold

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.10
K. Ingason未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
M. Agger未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

Odense BK

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.06
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.8球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

28%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Defensive Disparity: Odense's extremely weak away defense (2.33 goals conceded per game) meets a defensively stable Sønderjyske home team (1.00 goals conceded per game)
  • Offensive Firepower: Odense boasts a strong attack with Noah Ganaus (10 goals) and Fiete Arp (8 goals), facing a counter-oriented but efficient home side
  • High-Scoring Venue: Sydbank Park averages 3.2 goals per game, which favors an open match and could further expose Odense's vulnerable defense
风险因素
  • H2H Record: Odense BK is unbeaten in the last five meetings with Sønderjyske (1 win, 4 draws), which contradicts the current league standings
  • Key Midfield Absences: Both teams are missing key players in the center, Sønderjyske without the suspended T. Sommer (20 appearances) and Odense without R. Falk Jensen
概述

Sønderjyske Fodbold (4th place, 33 points) hosts Odense BK (8th place, 27 points) at Sydbank Park

The Superliga match takes place on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM

The mathematical analysis suggests an extremely balanced match, with a 36% win probability for the home team and 36% for the visitors

近期状态

Sønderjyske Fodbold form: D-W-L-W-D

In the last 5 games, there were 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The team is unbeaten in two games and last drew 0-0 against Brøndby IF

Odense BK form: W-W-L-L-D

Odense BK secured 2 wins and 1 draw with 2 losses in their last 5 matches

They last drew 2-2 against FC København, following two consecutive losses

统计数据

Sønderjyske Fodbold is strong at home, averaging 1.64 goals scored and only 1.00 goals conceded per home game

Odense BK has one of the most vulnerable defenses in the league, especially away with 2.33 goals conceded per game

However, Odense's attack is very dangerous, with 1.71 goals per game overall and 1.78 away

Both teams scored in 18 of Odense BK's 21 season games, indicating high-scoring matches

历史交锋

Sønderjyske Fodbold has not won in the last 5 direct encounters

Odense BK won once, while 4 matches ended in a draw

The last meeting finished with a 1-1 score

In total, 15 goals were scored in these matches, with a slight advantage for Odense (8 to 7)

关键球员

For Sønderjyske Fodbold, Lirim Qamili (5 season goals) and defender M. Soulas (3 goals) are key offensive contributors

Odense BK relies on its striker duo Noah Ganaus, who stands out with 10 goals this season, and Fiete Arp with 8 goals

门将

Sønderjyske's goalkeeper Marcus Bundgaard has kept 6 clean sheets this season

In contrast, Viljar Myhra of Odense BK has managed to keep a clean sheet in only 2 matches

影响因素

Sydbank Park is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last 5 matches

In all 5 of these games, there were over 2.5 goals, and in 4 of them, both teams scored

Sønderjyske's home strength (1.0 conceded per game) meets Odense's massive defensive weakness away (2.33 conceded per game)

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