🇩🇰

Superliga

Vejle Boldklub - AGF

03/01/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Vejle Boldklub
1.2
Total xG
3.4
AGF
2.2
最可能的比分

1:1

10%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

1:3

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
VBAGF

Vejle Boldklub

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.34
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06

AGF

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.90
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.39
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.11
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.06
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

19%

平局

23%

客胜

58%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

66%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

44%

Under 3.5

56%

双重机会

主胜或平局

42%

客胜或平局

81%

非平局

77%

双方进球

63%

37%

关键因素
  • League table gap: League leaders AGF face bottom-of-the-table Vejle, a difference reflected in their current form
  • AGF's offensive dominance: With a goal average of 2.1 per game, AGF is statistically far superior to the home team (1.19)
  • Defensive stability: AGF concedes only half as many goals as Vejle (1.05 vs. 2.05), which is a clear advantage
风险因素
  • Vejle's home defense: Despite their poor season record, Vejle concedes significantly fewer goals at home (1.23 per game)
  • Injury concerns for Vejle: The home team is missing four players due to injury, which could further weaken the squad
  • Historical result: Vejle won the last head-to-head home game against AGF, suggesting a potential for an upset
概述

A clash of opposites in the Superliga: league leaders AGF (1st place, 47 points) visit relegation-threatened Vejle Boldklub (12th place, 14 points)

The match takes place on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM at Vejle Stadion

AGF aims to consolidate their top spot, while Vejle desperately needs points to stay up

近期状态

Vejle Boldklub is going through a difficult phase with the form L W L L D

From the last five games, they've managed only one win, one draw, and three losses

AGF, on the other hand, arrives with an impressive streak: W W W D W

The team is unbeaten in five games, winning four of them

The form guide clearly favors the visitors

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

The statistical differences are stark

AGF has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.1 goals per game, while Vejle averages 1.19

Defensively, the contrast is even greater: AGF concedes an average of just 1.05 goals, whereas Vejle concedes 2.05

Interestingly, Vejle is defensively more stable at home (1.23 goals conceded) than away (3.38)

Matches at Vejle Stadion are often high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals in the last five games

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, AGF has had the clear upper hand

The record stands at three wins for AGF, one win for Vejle Boldklub, and one draw

The goal difference of 9:4 also speaks in favor of the visitors

The last meeting was won by AGF with a 1-0 scoreline

AGF has shown dominance in recent encounters

关键球员

For Vejle Boldklub, Christian Gammelgaard (6 goals, 3 assists) and Mikkel Duelund (5 goals, 1 assist) are the key offensive players

For AGF, the main goalscorers are Tobias Bech with 10 season goals and 3 assists, and Kristian Arnstad, who has scored 9 times and provided 3 assists

Patrick Mortensen is also a crucial part of the visitors' attack with 7 goals

门将

In goal for Vejle Boldklub is Igor Vekic, who has kept 2 clean sheets in 21 games this season

His counterpart at AGF is Jesper Hansen, who has already kept a clean sheet 6 times in 20 appearances

Statistically, Hansen has had the stronger season so far

影响因素

Vejle Boldklub shows clear defensive strength at home, conceding an average of just 1.23 goals per game at Vejle Stadion

The stadium itself has recently seen high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.2 goals and an over 2.5 rate of 80% in the last five home games

This statistic points towards an entertaining match

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