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Superliga

FC København - Randers FC

03/01/2026, 04:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
FC København
1.3
Total xG
2.9
Randers FC
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
FKRF

FC København

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.13
35%进球产出缺失 (仅64%可用)

Randers FC

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.04
Mohamed Touré未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅45%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

27%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

34%

Under 3.5

66%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Randers' depleted offense: The away team has only 45% of its seasonal goal threat available, as key attacker Mohamed Touré (4 goals) is not in the squad
  • Copenhagen's crisis of form and absences: The home team is winless in five matches and is further weakened by numerous injuries and a suspension
  • Mathematical trend favoring the visitors: Despite the league standings, the prediction model slightly favors Randers FC with a 43% win probability
风险因素
  • Copenhagen's weakened squad: The home team is affected by personnel issues, able to call upon only about 65% of its goal threat from this season
  • Copenhagen's historical superiority: Despite current problems, Copenhagen has clearly dominated recent head-to-head encounters, which could give them an advantage
概述

FC København (7th place, 29 points) host Randers FC (9th place, 23 points) at Parken

Superliga match on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM

A mid-table clash where both teams are hoping for a turnaround

近期状态

FC København are in a crisis of form and winless in their last five matches (Form: DLLLD) with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Randers FC also show inconsistent form with only one win from their last five games (Form: DLDWL), recording 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Copenhagen scores more goals on average for the season (1.62) than Randers (0.95)

Defensively, Randers are slightly more stable, conceding an average of 1.24 goals per game compared to Copenhagen's 1.52

In Copenhagen's matches, over 2.5 goals were scored in 12 of 21 games, while for Randers this was the case in only 9 of 21

历史交锋

In the last five direct encounters, FC København have clearly dominated with 4 wins and one draw

The goal difference of 13:3 underscores this superiority

The last meeting ended in a decisive 5-1 victory for Copenhagen

关键球员

For FC København, Jordan Larsson (6 season goals, 2 assists) and defender Gabriel Pereira (1 season goal) are ones to watch

For Randers FC, goal-scoring defender Daniel Høegh (3 season goals) and attacker Elies Mahmoud (2 goals, 2 assists) are key players

门将

In goal for Copenhagen is Dominik Kotarski; the team has achieved 4 clean sheets this season

For Randers, Paul Izzo is in goal; his team has already kept a clean sheet 8 times

影响因素

At Parken, an average of 2.6 goals have been scored in recent matches

Copenhagen has a balanced home record with 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game

Randers FC are less prolific away from home (1.0 goals per game) and more vulnerable defensively (1.33 goals conceded)

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