🇩🇰

Superliga

Viborg FF - Nordsjælland

03/01/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Viborg FF
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Nordsjælland
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
VFNOR

Viborg FF

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.01
Tim Freriks未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Nordsjælland

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.21
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

26%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

61%

Under 2.5

39%

Over 3.5

38%

Under 3.5

62%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

74%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Matchup imbalance: Viborg's solid home offense (1.62 goals/game) meets Nordsjælland's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.88 goals conceded/game)
  • Goal-fest expected: Both teams have high scoring averages, and the venue has recently seen an average of 4.4 goals per game. The model predicts a 64% probability for both teams to score
  • Nordsjælland's momentum: Despite their away weakness, Nordsjælland is unbeaten in 4 games and has historical dominance, winning 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches
风险因素
  • Weakened offense for Viborg: The home team only has 60% of its goal production available, as key player Tim Freriks is not in the squad
  • Historical record: Viborg has won only one of the last 5 encounters against Nordsjælland, which could be a psychological hurdle
  • Absences for Nordsjælland: The guests are missing midfielder J. Meltofte Janssen due to a red card suspension
概述

Viborg FF (6th place, 30 points) hosts Nordsjælland (5th place, 31 points) at the Energi Viborg Arena

This is a clash between direct league table neighbors in the Superliga on March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM

Both teams are fighting for a better position in the top half of the table

近期状态

Viborg FF form: DDWWL (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

Their last match ended in a loss, which broke a four-game unbeaten streak

Nordsjælland form: LWWWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)

Nordsjælland is unbeaten in their last four matches, showing strong current form

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Offensively, both teams are almost level with 1.67 goals per game (Viborg) and 1.71 (Nordsjælland)

A key difference lies in defense: Nordsjælland concedes an average of 2.88 goals per away game, while Viborg allows only 1.38 goals at home

Matches at the Energi Viborg Arena are often high-scoring, with an average of 4.4 goals in the last five games

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 14 of Viborg's 21 league games, and in 15 of 21 for Nordsjælland

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Nordsjælland dominated with 4 wins, while Viborg FF managed to win only once

The goal difference is clearly in favor of Nordsjælland at 11:5

The last meeting was also won by Nordsjælland with a 1-0 scoreline

关键球员

For Viborg FF, Thomas Jørgensen (3 goals, 6 assists) and Charly Nouck (5 goals, 3 assists) are the key figures in attack

Mads Søndergaard has also contributed 5 goals this season

For Nordsjælland, Prince Amoako Junior (6 goals, 4 assists) and Ola Solbakken (6 goals) stand out, the latter having scored 4 goals in his last 4 games

Alexander Lind is also a key offensive player with 5 goals and 3 assists

门将

In goal for Viborg is Lucas Lund, who has kept 6 clean sheets this season

Nordsjælland's goal is kept by Andreas Hansen, who has also been part of his team's 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The home advantage for Viborg is statistically significant, especially due to Nordsjælland's glaring defensive weakness away from home (2.88 goals conceded per game)

The Energi Viborg Arena has recently been the scene of very high-scoring matches, with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 home games

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