Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart - FC Köln
02/14/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.7
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
28%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Stuttgart's solid home record meets Köln's vulnerable away defense, which concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
- Head-to-head advantage: Stuttgart is unbeaten in the last five meetings with Köln (3 wins, 2 draws) and holds an 8:2 goal difference
- Offensive dominance: Stuttgart is dominant in possession (61%) and has significantly more shots on target (6.6 per game) than Köln (3.8), supporting the mathematical prediction of 1.61 expected goals
风险因素
- Inconsistent form: Both teams have shown fluctuating performances recently, making the match more unpredictable
- Stuttgart's offensive dip: According to advanced stats, Stuttgart's recent goal production (1.6 goals per game) is below their season average (1.9), indicating a slight dip in finishing
- Injury concerns: Both teams have a significant number of injured players, which could affect squad depth and available options
概述
VfB Stuttgart, 6th in the table with 39 points, hosts FC Köln, who are in 10th place with 23 points
The Bundesliga match will take place on February 14, 2026, at 6:30 PM at the MHPArena
Stuttgart enters the match as the favorite, supported by a 48% probability of a home win
近期状态
VfB Stuttgart form (all competitions): LWWWL
In the last 5 matches, Stuttgart has secured 3 wins and suffered 2 losses
FC Köln form (all competitions): LWLWL
Köln's form has been inconsistent with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games
In the league, Stuttgart's form is LWLWW, while Köln's is WWDLL
统计数据
Stuttgart scores an average of 1.81 goals per game this season and concedes 1.33
At home, their average is 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded
Köln averages 1.43 goals per game and concedes 1.62
Köln's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.12 goals per game
历史交锋
VfB Stuttgart is unbeaten in the last 5 head-to-head encounters
The record stands at 3 wins for Stuttgart and 2 draws
The goal difference is 8:2 in favor of Stuttgart
The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Stuttgart
关键球员
Deniz Undav is VfB Stuttgart's top scorer with 11 season goals and 3 assists
Jamie Leweling has contributed with 5 goals and 5 assists
For FC Köln, Jakub Kamiński is a key player in attack with 5 season goals
Ragnar Ache and Marius Bülter have both scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists each
门将
Alexander Nübel of VfB Stuttgart has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln has managed 3 clean sheets
影响因素
The MHPArena has seen relatively high-scoring games recently, with an average of 2.6 goals per match
Both teams have scored in 60% of the recent games at this stadium
Stuttgart's strong home record meets Köln's significant away weakness, especially in defense