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Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach

02/22/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
SC Freiburg
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

30%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Head-to-head: Freiburg is unbeaten in 5 games against Mönchengladbach (3 wins, 2 draws) and historically dominant
  • Home strength vs. away weakness: Freiburg is very stable defensively at home (only 0.85 goals conceded/game)
  • Guests' form crisis: Mönchengladbach has been winless for 5 matches, which makes Freiburg the favorite according to the mathematical prediction (44% win chance)
风险因素
  • Weakened Freiburg offense: Due to the absence of Johan Manzambi, only 59% of the team's usual goal threat is available according to the data
  • Goal drought for both teams: Both teams have recently scored significantly fewer goals than their season average, suggesting a low-scoring game
  • Strong goalkeeper performance: Gladbach's Moritz Nicolas has already proven his class with 8 clean sheets and could be a decisive factor
概述

SC Freiburg (8th place, 30 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (14th place, 22 points)

The Bundesliga match will take place on February 22, 2026, at 3:30 PM at the Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg aims to establish themselves in the upper mid-table, while Gladbach is fighting for crucial points against relegation

近期状态

SC Freiburg form: WLLWL (2 wins, 3 losses from the last 5 matches)

Borussia Mönchengladbach form: DLDDL (3 draws, 2 losses from the last 5 matches)

Freiburg shows inconsistency but has managed to secure home wins recently

Mönchengladbach is winless in their last five matches and is in a form crisis

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Freiburg is very strong defensively at home, conceding only 0.85 goals per home game on average

In comparison, Mönchengladbach's attack is less potent with an average of 1.14 goals per game

At home, SC Freiburg scores an average of 1.46 goals

In 13 of SC Freiburg's 22 league games, both teams scored, whereas for Mönchengladbach this was the case in only 8 of 22 games

历史交锋

SC Freiburg is undefeated in the last 5 head-to-head encounters

The record stands at 3 wins for Freiburg, 0 wins for Mönchengladbach, and 2 draws

The goal difference of 11:5 also clearly favors the home team

The last meeting between the two teams ended in a 0-0 draw

关键球员

Vincenzo Grifo is a key player for Freiburg with 6 goals and 1 assist

Igor Matanovic has also proven his goal-scoring threat with 5 goals and 1 assist

Yuito Suzuki has been directly involved in 6 goals (3 goals, 3 assists)

Haris Tabakovic is Mönchengladbach's undisputed top striker with 10 goals this season

Defender Kevin Diks has already scored 3 times this season

Yannik Engelhardt has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist

门将

Noah Atubolu of SC Freiburg has kept 5 clean sheets this season

His counterpart, Moritz Nicolas of Borussia Mönchengladbach, has already achieved this 8 times

Both goalkeepers are showing an upward trend in form

影响因素

SC Freiburg benefits from a strong home record, especially in defense with only 0.85 goals conceded per game

The last five matches at the Europa-Park Stadion have tended to be low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game

Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 5 home games

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