Champions League
Borussia Dortmund - Atalanta
02/17/2026, 08:15 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
25%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
66%
否
34%
关键因素
- Strong home record: Dortmund is a force at Signal Iduna Park, averaging 2.17 goals per home game
- Atalanta's offensive power weakened: According to stats, only 21% of regular goalscorers are available in the current squad
- Good attacking form from both teams: The mathematical analysis expects goals on both sides (66% probability) with 1.81 expected home goals
风险因素
- Short recovery time for Atalanta: The visitors had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Atalanta's strong current form: Despite absences, Atalanta has won its last 3 games and been defensively solid (only 0.5 goals conceded on average in recent games)
概述
Borussia Dortmund (17th place, 11 points) hosts Atalanta (15th place, 13 points) at Signal Iduna Park
Champions League match on February 17, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams are close in the standings and are fighting for a better position in the group stage
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund form: WLWWW (4 wins, 1 loss)
Atalanta form: LDWWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Both teams are in strong form, having won their last 3 consecutive matches
统计数据
Dortmund scores an average of 2.14 goals per game this season, while Atalanta scores 1.36
Defensively, Dortmund concedes 0.91 goals, and Atalanta concedes 0.84
At home, Dortmund is particularly strong with 2.17 goals per game and only 0.67 goals conceded
Atalanta scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.1 goals away from home
历史交锋
In 2 previous encounters, Dortmund has won once, with 1 draw
Atalanta is still waiting for a victory
The goal difference is 4:3 in favor of Borussia Dortmund
The last match ended in a 1-1 draw, but that was several years ago (2018)
关键球员
Serhou Guirassy (3 season goals, 2 assists), in outstanding form with 5 goals in the last 5 games
Julian Ryerson (1 season assist), who has provided 5 assists in his last 4 appearances
Julian Brandt (3 season goals), an important part of Dortmund's offense
Éderson (1 season goal, 1 assist), recently successful as a goalscorer
Mario Pašalić (1 season goal), directly involved in 2 goals in his last 3 games (1 goal, 1 assist)
Gianluca Scamacca (2 season goals), who represents a constant goal threat
门将
Gregor Kobel of Dortmund has kept 11 clean sheets in 22 season matches
Atalanta's team has kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches
Marco Carnesecchi has shown strong performances for Atalanta with an average season rating of 7.24
影响因素
Signal Iduna Park is a fortress for Dortmund, with a scoring average of 2.17 and only 0.67 goals conceded per home game
The recent matches at the stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per game
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of the last 5 home games