Coppa Italia
Napoli - Como
02/10/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
3.3
2.2
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
22%
客胜
63%
进球数
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
41%
Under 3.5
59%
双重机会
主胜或平局
37%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Como's strong form: Como is unbeaten in four games and, according to advanced stats, shows a significantly better offensive performance than their season average
- Napoli's weakened squad: The home team is missing key players, leaving only 42% of their usual goal threat available
- Como's away strength: Como has an impressive record on natural grass and is statistically stronger away than Napoli is at home
风险因素
- Potential fatigue for Napoli: Napoli has had only 3 days of rest since their last match, while Como had 9 days to recover
- Balanced history: Despite the current difference in form, the head-to-head record between the two teams is historically completely even
- Napoli's upward trend: The two consecutive wins could give Napoli a psychological boost to compensate for their squad issues
概述
Napoli hosts Como at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on February 10, 2026, at 9:00 PM for their Coppa Italia clash
Como enters the match as the favorite, a status supported by the mathematical prediction of a 63% win probability
Napoli faces a significant challenge due to considerable squad issues and mixed form
近期状态
Napoli: DLLWW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Como: LWWWD (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Como is in significantly better form, while Napoli has shown a slight upward trend with two recent victories
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Statistically, Como is slightly stronger in both attack (averaging 1.61 goals per game) and defense (0.70 goals conceded per game) than Napoli (1.50 and 0.96 respectively)
Napoli is strong at home, conceding only 0.69 goals per home game on average
Como impresses away with 1.55 goals scored and only 0.82 conceded
历史交锋
In 3 previous encounters, the record is completely balanced with one win for Napoli, one for Como, and one draw
The goal difference is 4-3 in favor of Napoli
The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
For Napoli, Rasmus Højlund scored 3 goals in the last 5 games
Antonio Vergara showed rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
For Como, Nico Paz is a key player with 3 goals in the last 5 games
Martin Baturina impressed with 2 goals and 3 assists in the same period
门将
Napoli's goal is kept by Vanja Milinković-Savić, whose team has kept 9 clean sheets this season
For Como, Jean Butez is in goal, who has kept a clean sheet 12 times with his team
影响因素
Napoli has a solid home record (1.46 goals scored vs 0.69 conceded)
At the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game
Como's away record on natural grass is impressive with 6 wins from 10 games (21-6 goals), surpassing Napoli's home record on the same surface (4 wins, 15-14 goals)