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Copa Del Rey

Real Sociedad - Athletic Club

03/04/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Real Sociedad
1.5
Total xG
3.4
Athletic Club
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

1:2

9%

2:1

7%

2:2

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
RSAC

Real Sociedad

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.06
T. Kubo未进首发 (2球, 3助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Athletic Club

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+1.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.15
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Unai Gómez未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

25%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

75%

双方进球

67%

33%

关键因素
  • Athletic Club is slightly favored by the mathematical model with a 43% win probability
  • High scoring potential: Both teams show an upward trend in scoring, and the model predicts a 67% chance for both teams to score and a 65% chance for over 2.5 goals
  • Matchup dynamic: Real Sociedad's solid home attack (1.5 goals per game) faces Athletic Club's vulnerable away defense (1.91 goals conceded per game)
风险因素
  • Athletic Club's defensive fragility on the road is a major concern, having conceded an average of 1.91 goals per away match this season
  • Both teams are missing important players due to injury, including T. Kubo for Real Sociedad and N. Williams for Athletic Club, which could impact their offensive capabilities
概述

Real Sociedad faces Athletic Club at Anoeta Stadium in the Copa Del Rey

The match is on March 4, 2026, at 9:00 PM

A Basque derby with both teams fighting to advance to the next round

近期状态

Real Sociedad form (all competitions): WWLDW

In the last 5 games, there have been 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Athletic Club form (all competitions): WLWWD

Athletic Club has also recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Real Sociedad scores an average of 1.46 goals per game this season and concedes the same number

Athletic Club averages 1.15 goals per game and concedes 1.38

At home, Real Sociedad is offensively solid with 1.5 goals per game

Athletic Club is defensively vulnerable away, conceding an average of 1.91 goals per game

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Real Sociedad has the edge with 2 wins, compared to 1 for Athletic Club and 2 draws

The goal difference is 5-4 in favor of Real Sociedad

The most recent meeting took place recently, with Real Sociedad winning 1-0 away

关键球员

Mikel Oyarzabal is Real Sociedad's top scorer with 10 goals this season, supported by Gonçalo Guedes who has contributed 6 goals and 4 assists

Beñat Turrientes is showing rising form in midfield

For Athletic Club, Gorka Guruzeta is a key attacker with 6 goals for the season and is in strong form

Iñaki Williams also has a significant impact with 2 goals and 2 assists

Oihan Sancet scored in the last match and is on a positive trend

门将

Unai Marrero starts for Real Sociedad

Álex Padilla is in goal for Athletic Club

This season, Athletic Club has kept 5 clean sheets, while Real Sociedad has managed 2

影响因素

Anoeta Stadium has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.2 goals in the last 5 matches

In all 5 of these games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals

Real Sociedad has a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game

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