Bundesliga
St. Pauli - Werder Bremen
02/22/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.2
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
5%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
29%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Direct relegation battle: As 17th against 16th, there is a huge amount at stake for both teams, increasing the intensity
- Catastrophic form of Werder Bremen: The visitors are winless in five games (LLDLL) and have scored only one goal in their last five matches
- Weakened attack for St. Pauli: Due to the absence of Andréas Hountondji (4 season goals), the home team only has 55% of its usual goal threat available
风险因素
- Historical record: The head-to-head comparison clearly favors Werder Bremen with four wins from five matches, which contradicts their current form
- Weak offensive lines: Both teams struggle significantly to score goals, which increases the likelihood of a low-scoring game (Over 2.5 probability at only 49%)
- Bremen's offense weakened: The visitors have only 64% of their seasonal goal threat available, further limiting their ability to score
概述
Relegation battle in the Bundesliga: St. Pauli (17th place, 17 points) hosts Werder Bremen (16th place, 19 points) at the Millerntor-Stadion
The match takes place on February 22, 2026, 5:30 PM
This is a crucial game for both teams in the fight for survival, with only two points separating them
近期状态
St. Pauli has mixed form with a record of DDLWL from the last five games
This amounts to one win, two draws, and two losses
Werder Bremen is in a deep crisis, having collected only one point from their last five matches (LLDLL)
The visitors have lost four of their last five games and are without a point in their last two matches
统计数据
Both teams have defensive problems: St. Pauli concedes an average of 1.77 goals per game, while Werder Bremen concedes 1.91
Offensively, both teams are also struggling, with St. Pauli scoring 0.91 goals per game and Bremen exactly 1.0
Bremen's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.1 goals
St. Pauli has failed to score in 9 of 22 matches, Werder Bremen in 10 of 22
历史交锋
The head-to-head record clearly favors Werder Bremen
In the last five encounters, there were four wins for Bremen and one draw
St. Pauli has not won any of these duels
The goal difference is 9-1 in favor of Werder Bremen
Bremen also won the last match 1-0
关键球员
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani (4 goals, 2 assists) and Eric Smith (2 goals, 2 assists) are important players in attack
Martijn Kaars has contributed 3 goals this season
For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage is the top scorer with 6 goals
Romano Schmid (2 goals, 5 assists) and Justin Njinmah (4 goals) are also crucial for the offense
门将
In goal for St. Pauli is Nikola Vasilj, who has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Werder Bremen's goalkeeper is Mio Backhaus, who has managed 4 clean sheets so far
Both goalkeepers are often tested in their defensively vulnerable teams
影响因素
St. Pauli has a slight advantage at the Millerntor-Stadion but still concedes an average of 1.42 goals per home game
Recent matches at the stadium have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 1.8 goals in the last five games
Werder Bremen's away record is weak, with an average of 2.1 goals conceded per game on the road