Bundesliga
RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund
02/21/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.4
1.8
1:1
11%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
6%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
25%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Borussia Dortmund's outstanding form with four consecutive wins contrasts sharply with RB Leipzig's inconsistency
- Dortmund's defensive stability is a key advantage, conceding an average of only 0.91 goals per game compared to Leipzig's 1.36
- Two offensive concepts clash: Leipzig's high-frequency attack (6.2 shots on target per game) against Dortmund's stable defense
风险因素
- Despite Dortmund's strong form, the head-to-head record favors RB Leipzig, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters
- Dortmund must play without two key defenders, N. Schlotterbeck and N. Süle, which could weaken their defense
- Leipzig is also weakened by the absence of starting goalkeeper P. Gulácsi and midfielder X. Schlager
概述
RB Leipzig (5th place, 40 points) host Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 51 points) at the Red Bull Arena
Top Bundesliga match on February 21, 2026, 6:30 PM
A key game in the race for the Champions League spots and the title
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund is in outstanding form, having won their last 4 consecutive matches
Their overall form from the last five games (all competitions) is LWWWW (4 wins, 1 loss)
RB Leipzig's form is more inconsistent with a record of WDLWD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Borussia Dortmund has a slightly stronger attack, averaging 2.14 goals per game compared to RB Leipzig's 1.91
Defensively, Dortmund is significantly more solid, conceding only 0.91 goals per game versus Leipzig's 1.36
Both teams are potent: Leipzig scores an average of 1.92 goals at home, while Dortmund nets an impressive 2.1 goals away
Both teams scored in 12 of Leipzig's 22 games and 11 of Dortmund's 22 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig has had the clear upper hand
The record stands at 3 wins for Leipzig, one win for Dortmund, and one draw
The goal difference also favors Leipzig at 11:6
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
Christoph Baumgartner (8 goals, 7 assists), Yan Diomande (8 goals, 4 assists), and Rômulo (6 goals, 4 assists) are the driving forces in Leipzig's attack
For Dortmund, Serhou Guirassy stands out with 11 goals this season and is in hot form with 5 goals in his last 4 games
He is supported by Karim Adeyemi (5 goals, 2 assists) and midfielder Felix Nmecha (2 goals, 3 assists)
门将
Maarten Vandevoordt is in goal for RB Leipzig, as starting goalkeeper Gulácsi is injured
The team has kept a total of 9 clean sheets this season
For Borussia Dortmund, Gregor Kobel is the clear number one and has already kept 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
RB Leipzig enjoys a clear home advantage, scoring an average of 1.92 goals per game at the Red Bull Arena
Recent matches at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last five fixtures
Both teams scored in 3 of these 5 games