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Bundesliga

Heidenheim - VfB Stuttgart

02/22/2026, 06:30 PM

3 : 3
预期进球
Heidenheim
1.1
Total xG
3.7
VfB Stuttgart
2.6
最可能的比分

1:2

9%

1:3

8%

0:3

7%

2:2

5%

1:4

5%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

14%

平局

19%

客胜

67%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

71%

Under 2.5

29%

Over 3.5

50%

Under 3.5

50%

双重机会

主胜或平局

33%

客胜或平局

86%

非平局

81%

双方进球

64%

36%

关键因素
  • Class difference and form: Fourth-placed Stuttgart in top form (WWLWW) meets bottom-of-the-table Heidenheim in a deep crisis (DLLLL)
  • Offensive firepower: Stuttgart's attack, with players like Undav and Demirovic, is in scintillating form, averaging 1.86 goals per game and 2.4 recently
  • Weakened host: Heidenheim has significant personnel issues in attack, with only 37% of their goal threat available due to the absence of players like Stefan Schimmer (5 goals)
风险因素
  • Fatigue for the visitors: VfB Stuttgart has had only three days of rest since their last match, which could lead to signs of fatigue
  • Balanced history: Despite the current form, the head-to-head record is even with two wins each and a draw, suggesting a tricky opponent
概述

In the Bundesliga, last-placed Heidenheim (18th place, 13 points) hosts VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 42 points)

The match will take place on February 22, 2026, 7:30 PM at the Voith-Arena

The roles are clearly defined: Stuttgart are the clear favorites, underlined by a mathematical win probability of 67%

近期状态

Heidenheim is in a deep crisis with the form DLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They have taken just one point from their last five games and are on a four-game losing streak

In contrast, VfB Stuttgart arrives with a lot of confidence, with their form being WWLWW

The visitors have won four of their last five matches

统计数据

VfB Stuttgart has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 1.86 goals per game

Heidenheim has significant problems in attack, with only 0.86 goals scored per game

The difference in defense is just as stark: Stuttgart concedes 1.32 goals per game, while Heidenheim has the weakest defense with 2.18 goals conceded

Heidenheim has not kept a single clean sheet this season

历史交锋

The head-to-head record between the two teams is surprisingly balanced

In the last five encounters, there have been two wins for Heidenheim, two for Stuttgart, and one draw

The goal difference is also exactly even at 7:7

The last duel was won by VfB Stuttgart 1-0

关键球员

For Heidenheim, midfielder Julian Niehues stands out with 3 season goals, two of which came in the last five games

Defensive leader Patrick Mainka is the most consistent player on the team with a rating of 7.01

Arijon Ibrahimovic has already provided 3 assists

For VfB Stuttgart, Deniz Undav is the standout player with 12 goals and 4 assists

Ermedin Demirovic (7 goals) and Jamie Leweling (5 goals, 6 assists) are also in excellent form

门将

A clear duel in favor of the visitors

Stuttgart's goalkeeper Alexander Nübel has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Heidenheim's Diant Ramaj, on the other hand, is still waiting for his first clean sheet of the season

影响因素

The Voith-Arena has not been a fortress for Heidenheim this season

The team averages only 0.83 goals scored and concedes 2.0 goals at home

An average of 3.2 goals have been scored in the last five home games, which could indicate a high-scoring match

The models expect 1.14 goals for Heidenheim and 2.56 for Stuttgart

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