Bundesliga
TSG Hoffenheim - St. Pauli
02/28/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.1
1.3
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
7%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
TSG Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
26%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Attacking mismatch: Hoffenheim's strong home record (2.08 goals/game) meets St. Pauli's extremely vulnerable away defense (2.44 goals conceded/game)
- Weakened St. Pauli attack: Only 55% of their goal-scoring threat is available in the squad, significantly reducing their offensive power
- Diverging circumstances: Third-placed Hoffenheim in good form faces relegation-threatened 16th-placed St. Pauli with inconsistent performances
风险因素
- Balanced record: The historical head-to-head record is even, and St. Pauli has won at Hoffenheim before
- Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerability: Recently, Hoffenheim conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game, which is above their season average of 1.36
概述
TSG Hoffenheim (3rd place, 46 points) hosts St. Pauli (16th place, 20 points) at the PreZero Arena
The Bundesliga match will take place on February 28, 2026, at 3:30 PM
Hoffenheim aims to solidify a top position, while St. Pauli is fighting for survival
近期状态
TSG Hoffenheim form: WWLWD
In the last 5 games, Hoffenheim achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and suffered 1 loss
St. Pauli form: DLWLW
St. Pauli managed 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, with 2 losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
TSG Hoffenheim's attack, averaging 2.13 goals per game, is significantly stronger than St. Pauli's (0.96 goals)
Hoffenheim is particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 2.08 goals
St. Pauli's defense is very vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.44 goals per game
In Hoffenheim's home games, over 2.5 goals have been scored in 16 out of 23 matches
历史交锋
The record in the last 5 head-to-head encounters is perfectly balanced
Both teams have won 2 matches each, with one draw
The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of TSG Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim won the last meeting 3-0
关键球员
Andrej Kramaric is the top scorer for Hoffenheim with 10 season goals and 4 assists, and is in rising form
Fisnik Asllani has contributed 7 goals and 5 assists
Wouter Burger is a key midfielder with 4 goals and 6 assists
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani is the most dangerous player with 4 goals and 3 assists
Eric Smith has scored 2 goals and provided 2 assists this season
Martijn Kaars has been successful as a goalscorer 3 times so far
门将
Oliver Baumann of TSG Hoffenheim has kept 6 clean sheets this season
Nikola Vasilj in goal for St. Pauli has managed 3 clean sheets so far
影响因素
TSG Hoffenheim has a clear home advantage, scoring an average of 2.08 goals and conceding just 1.0 at the PreZero Arena
The last 5 matches at this stadium have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals per game
In 80% of these recent home games, there were over 2.5 goals