Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - FC Union Berlin
02/28/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.8
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Union Berlin
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
27%
客胜
47%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
53%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Slight favorites role for the visitors: Mathematical models favor Union Berlin with a 47% win probability (Gladbach 25%)
- Contrasting form curves: Gladbach is winless in five games (LDDLL), while Union arrives with a win from their last match
- Defensive weaknesses on both sides: Gladbach concedes 1.75 goals per game at home, Union concedes an even higher 2.0 away
风险因素
- Gladbach's offense is struggling: The team has recently scored only 0.6 goals per game, well below their season average of 1.4
- Lack of creativity for Union: With Andrej Ilic (8 season assists) missing, a key playmaker is absent, with only 56% of assist production on the field
- Balanced H2H record: Past encounters have often been close and unpredictable, which puts Union's favorite status into perspective
概述
Borussia Mönchengladbach (14th place, 22 points) host FC Union Berlin (10th place, 28 points) at the Stadion im Borussia-Park
Bundesliga match on February 28, 2026, 3:30 PM
The hosts are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Borussia Mönchengladbach are winless in their last five matches (Form: LDDLL)
From their last five games, they've managed 2 draws and suffered 3 defeats
FC Union Berlin arrives with a recent victory (Form: LLDLW)
Their record from the last five matches: 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
统计数据
Both defensive lines appear vulnerable
Gladbach concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game at home
Union Berlin are even more susceptible on the road, conceding an average of 2.0 goals
Offensively, Gladbach scores 1.08 goals per home game, while Union averages 1.2 goals away
Gladbach has failed to score in 10 of their 23 league matches this season
历史交锋
The record of the last five head-to-head encounters is perfectly balanced
Both teams have won two matches each, with one game ending in a draw
The goal difference is 7-5 in favor of Union Berlin
Union won the last meeting 3-1
关键球员
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is the top scorer with 11 season goals
Franck Honorat has already provided 5 assists
For Union Berlin, defenders Danilho Doekhi (4 goals) and Leopold Querfeld (2 goals) are dangerous from set-pieces
Rani Khedira has scored 5 goals from midfield
门将
Gladbach's goalkeeper Moritz Nicolas has kept 8 clean sheets this season
Frederik Rønnow of FC Union Berlin has managed this in 5 matches
影响因素
Gladbach's home record is weak, with only 1.08 goals scored versus 1.75 conceded
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, the last five matches have seen an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 60% of these matches, there were more than 2.5 goals