Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - FC Köln
02/27/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
3.2
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
FC Augsburg
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
26%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Strong form meets crisis: Augsburg has won 4 of the last 5 games, while Köln has only recorded one victory in the same period
- Köln's glaring away weakness: With an average of 2.5 goals conceded per away game, Köln's defense is extremely vulnerable
- Augsburg's offense severely weakened: Only 46% of the season's goal scorers are available, making the attack unpredictable
风险因素
- Weakened Köln attack: The visitors are also missing key offensive players, with only 58% of their seasonal goal threat available
- Historical advantage for Köln: Augsburg has not managed a single win against Köln in the last five head-to-head encounters (3 draws, 2 losses)
概述
FC Augsburg (10th place, 28 points) hosts FC Köln (12th place, 24 points) at the WWK Arena
Bundesliga match on February 27, 2026, 8:30 PM
Both teams are looking for important points in the mid-table to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
FC Augsburg is in excellent form with four wins from their last five matches (WWLWW)
They have recently achieved two consecutive wins
FC Köln, on the other hand, is struggling with form, having won only one of their last five games (LWLLD), with three losses and one draw
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Both defensive lines appear vulnerable, with Augsburg conceding an average of 1.78 goals per game and Köln 1.70
Köln's defense is particularly weak away from home, allowing an average of 2.5 goals
Augsburg scores an average of 1.25 goals at home
The analysis calculates a 65% probability that both teams will score
历史交锋
The head-to-head record contradicts the current form curve
In the last five encounters, Augsburg has failed to win against Köln (2 losses, 3 draws)
The goal difference from these matches is 6:9 from Augsburg's perspective
The last meeting ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
For the home team, Alexis Claude-Maurice is a key player with 3 goals and 5 assists, as is Mert Kömür with 2 goals and 3 assists
For the visitors, Said El Mala is the top scorer with 8 goals this season
He is supported by Ragnar Ache (5 goals, 3 assists) and Jakub Kamiński (5 goals)
门将
In goal for Augsburg is Finn Dahmen, who has kept 4 clean sheets this season
His counterpart, Marvin Schwäbe of FC Köln, has 3 clean sheets to his name
Both goalkeepers have been beaten frequently this season
影响因素
FC Augsburg has a slight home advantage but concedes an average of 1.58 goals at the WWK Arena
FC Köln's major weakness is their away defense, with an average of 2.5 goals conceded
The stats from the last 5 home games at the WWK Arena show an average of 2.0 goals per match