Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - FC Bayern München
02/28/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.7
2.3
1:2
9%1:3
7%2:2
7%2:1
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
Borussia Dortmund
FC Bayern München
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
23%
平局
22%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
90%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
Over 3.5
51%
Under 3.5
49%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
77%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
70%
否
30%
关键因素
- Bayern's offense is in a class of its own, averaging 3.7 goals per game, and faces a weakened Dortmund defense
- The visitors from Munich are in significantly better form, unbeaten in 5 games, and travel as favorites, supported by a 55% win probability
- Tactical superiority: Bayern dominates with 60% possession and creates an average of 9.6 shots on goal per game
风险因素
- Borussia Dortmund has had only 3 days to recover since their last match, which could be a disadvantage in terms of freshness
- Both teams have to replace key defenders: Dortmund is missing the suspended Ryerson, while Bayern is without Davies, Ito, and goalkeeper Neuer, among others
概述
Top-of-the-table clash in the Bundesliga: Second-placed Borussia Dortmund (52 points) host leaders FC Bayern München (60 points) at Signal Iduna Park
Kick-off is on February 28, 2026, at 6:30 PM
For BVB, it's about closing the eight-point gap to stay in the title race
近期状态
Borussia Dortmund's form: WWWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
BVB have 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches, but their recent form has been trending downwards
FC Bayern München's form: WDWWW
Bayern are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw) and travel to Dortmund on the back of 3 consecutive wins
统计数据
Bayern's outstanding attack (avg. 3.7 goals per game) meets Dortmund's strong offense (avg. 2.14 goals)
Defensively, both teams are statistically identical with only 0.91 goals conceded per game
At home, BVB is a force, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals
Remarkably, all 23 of FC Bayern's league games this season have seen over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
FC Bayern has had the upper hand in the last 5 direct encounters
The team from Munich won 2 matches, Dortmund won once, and 2 games ended in a draw
The goal difference is 9-6 in favor of FC Bayern
Bayern won the last meeting 2-1
关键球员
For Dortmund, key players include Serhou Guirassy (11 season goals, 2 assists), Julian Brandt (6 goals, 2 assists), and Felix Nmecha (2 goals, 3 assists)
Bayern's attack is led by Harry Kane (28 season goals, 5 assists), Michael Olise (10 goals, 16 assists), and Luis Díaz (13 goals, 10 assists)
门将
In goal for BVB is Gregor Kobel, who has kept 11 clean sheets this season
Jonas Urbig will be between the posts for Bayern, as Manuel Neuer is out with an injury
The Bayern team has a total of 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Signal Iduna Park is a fortress for Borussia Dortmund
The team concedes an average of just 0.67 goals per game at home
The last 5 home games have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.6 goals per match