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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt - SC Freiburg

03/01/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.4
Total xG
2.3
SC Freiburg
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
EFSF

Eintracht Frankfurt

防守实力 (场均失2.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.58
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.50
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.14
Can Uzun未进首发 (6球, 5助攻)
Jonathan Burkardt未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Farès Chaïbi未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Ansgar Knauff未进首发 (4球, 1助攻)
65%进球产出缺失 (仅34%可用)

SC Freiburg

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.84
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.29
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.29
Johan Manzambi未进首发 (3球, 2助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Massively weakened Frankfurt offense: Only 35% of their goal-scoring threat is available, with key players like Can Uzun and Jonathan Burkardt missing
  • Clear matchup imbalance: Frankfurt's stable home offense (2.0 goals/game) meets Freiburg's very poor away defense (2.78 goals conceded/game)
  • Historical superiority: Frankfurt is unbeaten in the last five encounters against Freiburg (2 wins, 3 draws)
风险因素
  • Muted Freiburg offense: The visitors are also weakened by absences, with only 59% of their goal threat available, missing the suspended Johan Manzambi among others
  • Current attacking slump: Both teams are currently scoring significantly fewer goals than their season average, with Freiburg recently averaging only 0.6 goals per game
  • Freiburg's counter-tactics: The visitors could challenge Frankfurt's vulnerable defense (2.13 goals conceded/game) with their counter-attacking style (35% possession)
概述

Eintracht Frankfurt (8th place, 31 points) host SC Freiburg (7th place, 33 points)

A direct duel in the Bundesliga mid-table at Deutsche Bank Park

The match takes place on March 1, 2026, 5:30 PM

Both teams aim to position themselves in the race for European spots with a win

近期状态

Eintracht Frankfurt form: LLDWL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses in the last 5 games)

SC Freiburg form: LLWLW (2 wins, 3 losses in the last 5 games)

Both teams show mixed form without a clear trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Frankfurt's home offense is solid, averaging 2.0 goals per game

Freiburg's defense is very vulnerable away from home, conceding 2.78 goals per game

Both teams scored in 17 of Eintracht's 23 matches

Freiburg failed to score in 6 of their 23 league games this season

历史交锋

Eintracht Frankfurt is unbeaten in the last 5 direct duels

The record is 2 wins for Frankfurt and 3 draws

The goal difference also favors Eintracht with 12:7

The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw

关键球员

Eintracht Frankfurt: Ritsu Doan (4 goals, 5 assists), Nathaniel Brown (3 goals, 5 assists), Arnaud Kalimuendo (3 goals, 1 assist)

SC Freiburg: Igor Matanovic (6 goals, 1 assist), Vincenzo Grifo (6 goals, 1 assist), Yuito Suzuki (3 goals, 3 assists)

门将

Kauã Santos is in goal for Frankfurt

For Freiburg, it's Noah Atubolu, who has kept 5 clean sheets this season

The entire Eintracht Frankfurt team has managed 4 clean sheets in total

影响因素

Deutsche Bank Park has recently been the scene of high-scoring games (average of 3.8 goals in the last 5 matches)

Freiburg's glaring defensive weakness away from home (2.78 goals conceded) could be a decisive advantage for Frankfurt

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of Frankfurt's last 5 home games

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