Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 - VfB Stuttgart
03/07/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.2
1.6
1:1
12%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
5%xG 分解
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
26%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Stuttgart's strong offense: According to advancedStats, VfB currently scores more frequently (2.8 goals) than their season average (2.0 goals)
- Tactical difference: Possession-dominant VfB (60% possession) meets counter-attacking Mainz (39% possession)
- Form and league position: Stuttgart is in 4th place and shows 'positive' form, while Mainz is fighting against relegation
风险因素
- Mainz 05 will be without key goal scorers: Nadiem Amiri (10 goals, 2 assists) and Silvan Widmer (2 goals, 0 assists) are missing, leaving only 63% of the usual starting eleven's strength available
概述
FSV Mainz 05 (14th place, 23 points) host VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 46 points) at the Mewa Arena
Bundesliga match on March 7, 2026, 3:30 PM
Mainz 05 are fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle, while VfB Stuttgart aim to solidify their Champions League spot
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Mainz 05 shows a form of WWLDD across all competitions
In their last five games, Mainz 05 recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
The last match ended in a draw, their second consecutive draw
VfB Stuttgart has a form of WWDLW
The Stuttgart team achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches
The last game was won by the visitors
The current form of Mainz 05 is described as 'Stable'
VfB Stuttgart shows a 'Positive' form trend
统计数据
Mainz 05 scores an average of 1.13 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals
At home, the average is 1.08 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per home game
VfB Stuttgart is stronger offensively with an average of 2.00 goals per game and 1.33 goals conceded
Away from home, Stuttgart scores an average of 1.93 goals and concedes 1.43 goals
At the Mewa Arena, an average of 2.2 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 60% of the games at this stadium
40% of the games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters in recent years, Mainz 05 won once, VfB Stuttgart three times
One match ended in a draw
Mainz 05 scored a total of 8 goals, Stuttgart 11 goals
The last encounter on October 26, 2025, was won by VfB Stuttgart away with 2:1
Recent results show a dominance by the away team
关键球员
For Mainz 05, Dominic van Hoof with 2 goals and 1 assist, Jae-sung Lee with 2 goals and 2 assists, and Phillip Tietz with 1 goal and 2 assists are key players
Dominic van Hoof shows a 'rising' form trend, while Jae-sung Lee and Phillip Tietz are 'stable'
For VfB Stuttgart, Deniz Undav with 14 goals and 4 assists, Ermedin Demirovic with 7 goals and 2 assists, and Jamie Leweling with 7 goals and 6 assists stand out
Ermedin Demirovic shows a 'rising' form trend, Jamie Leweling is 'stable', while Deniz Undav shows a 'declining' trend
门将
For Mainz 05, Daniel Batz is in goal, recording 2 clean sheets in 12 season appearances
For VfB Stuttgart, Alexander Nübel is the goalkeeper, keeping 9 clean sheets in 24 season appearances
影响因素
Mainz 05 scored an average of 1.08 goals at home and conceded 1.17 goals
VfB Stuttgart scored an average of 1.93 goals away and conceded 1.43 goals
The Mewa Arena showed an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches
Both teams scoring was recorded in 3 out of 5 games at this stadium