Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente - Benfica
03/02/2026, 08:15 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
12%0:1
11%1:0
9%1:2
8%模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
32%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Historical Dominance: Benfica has won all of the last five head-to-head matches against Gil Vicente
- Clash of Styles: Benfica's strong away attack (2.1 goals per game) meets Gil Vicente's extremely solid home defense (0.62 goals conceded per game)
- Balanced Prediction: The mathematical analysis suggests a close game, with a slight edge for Benfica (39% win probability), but also a high chance of a draw (32%)
风险因素
- Stuttering Benfica attack: Benfica's goal scoring has recently dropped, with 1.6 goals per game below their season average of 1.9
- Inconsistent form: Both teams have lost two of their last five games, indicating some level of inconsistency
- Defensive vulnerability for Gil Vicente: The home team has recently conceded more goals (1.6 on average) than their season average (1.0)
概述
Top clash in the Liga Portugal on March 2, 2026, 9:15 PM
Gil Vicente, currently in 5th place with 40 points, hosts third-placed Benfica with 55 points
The match will take place at the Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Important points are at stake for both teams in the race for European spots
近期状态
Both teams show mixed form with 3 wins and 2 losses each in their last five games
Gil Vicente's form is LWWWL
Benfica's form is WWLWL
Both teams lost their last match before this encounter
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Benfica has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.09 goals per game
Away from home, they are even more dangerous with 2.1 goals per game
Gil Vicente, on the other hand, shines with a strong home defense, conceding only 0.62 goals per game in their own stadium
Benfica is the best defensive team overall with just 0.59 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
The historical record of the last five meetings clearly favors Benfica
The visitors have won all five matches
The goal difference from these games is 16:4 in favor of Benfica
The last duel ended in a 2-1 victory for Benfica
关键球员
For the home team, Santiago García González with 5 goals and 1 assist, and Murilo de Souza Costa with 6 goals and 4 assists are the key offensive players
For the visitors, Vangelis Pavlidis is the outstanding striker with 20 goals this season
He is supported by midfielder Fredrik Aursnes, who has contributed 3 goals and 3 assists
门将
In goal for Gil Vicente is Lucão, whose team has kept 10 clean sheets this season
For Benfica, Anatoliy Trubin is the goalkeeper; he has managed to keep a clean sheet with his team 11 times
影响因素
The Estádio Cidade de Barcelos has recently hosted high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals in the last five home matches
Gil Vicente's home strength is remarkable, especially their defense, which concedes only 0.62 goals per game
Benfica's strong away attack will put this defense to the test