🇩🇪

Bundesliga

FC Bayern München - Borussia Mönchengladbach

03/06/2026, 07:30 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
FC Bayern München
2.8
Total xG
3.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.9
最可能的比分

3:0

9%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

4:0

6%

4:1

6%
xG 分解
FBMBM

FC Bayern München

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2倍)
+1.25
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.14
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
-0.07
Harry Kane未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Michael Olise未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Serge Gnabry未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Josip Stanisic未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Jonathan Tah未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
Aleksandar Pavlovic未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)
57%进球产出缺失 (仅50%可用)

Borussia Mönchengladbach

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.68
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.11
Yannik Engelhardt未进首发 (0球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.66
+0.66
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

76%

平局

16%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

24%

非平局

84%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: Only 50% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat for FC Bayern München, without Harry Kane (30G/5A), Michael Olise (10G/16A) and other players
  • Dominant home form and offensive power: FC Bayern München is unbeaten in four games and averages 3.69 home goals per match
  • Historical superiority and league position: FC Bayern München won all 5 head-to-head matches and is top of the table, while Gladbach is in 12th place
风险因素
  • The pipeline analysis predicts a 55% probability for both teams to score
  • FC Bayern München recently conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, compared to their season average of 0.97
概述

FC Bayern München (1st place, 63 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (12th place, 25 points) at the Allianz Arena. The Bundesliga match takes place on March 6, 2026, at 8:30 PM. The pipeline analysis sees FC Bayern as clear favorites with a home win probability of 76%, with an expected 2.75 home goals

近期状态

FC Bayern München shows strong form (DWWWW), with four wins and one draw in their last five games. Their last four matches were all wins, most recently a 3-2 against Borussia Dortmund. Borussia Mönchengladbach's form is mixed (DDLLW), with one win, two draws, and two losses. Their last game was a 1-0 win against Union Berlin. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Bayern München shines this season with an average of 3.67 goals scored and only 0.96 goals conceded per game. In home games, the average is even higher at 3.69 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded. Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 goals conceded per game. Away, their average is 1.08 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Over 2.5 goals were scored in all 24 FC Bayern games and in 13 Borussia Mönchengladbach games. The venue has seen an average of 5.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80% of matches

历史交锋

In the last five direct encounters, FC Bayern München dominated. All five matches ended in a victory for Bayern, who scored 11 goals and conceded only 2. The last meeting on October 25, 2025, saw FC Bayern win 3-0 against Borussia Mönchengladbach

关键球员

For FC Bayern München, Luis Díaz is a crucial attacking player with 13 season goals and 10 assists, contributing 4 goals and 1 assist in his last 3 games. Joshua Kimmich is an important midfield engine with 2 goals and 6 assists this season, and 1 assist in his last 3 games. Lennart Karl has 4 season goals and 2 assists, and assisted 1 goal in his last 4 games. For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is the top scorer with 11 season goals and 2 assists, scoring 1 goal in his last 3 games. Franck Honorat contributed 5 assists this season and one more in his last 3 games. Defender Kevin Diks scored 4 season goals

门将

Manuel Neuer for FC Bayern München played in 18 season games. Moritz Nicolas for Borussia Mönchengladbach played all 24 season games. Both teams achieved 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Allianz Arena is characterized by high-scoring games, with an average of 5.0 goals per game, 80% both teams scoring, and 80% of games exceeding 2.5 goals. FC Bayern München is particularly strong at home, scoring an average of 3.69 goals and conceding only 0.92 goals. Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.08 goals scored away and concedes 1.5 away goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。