Liga Portugal
AVS - Estrela Amadora
02/28/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:0
7%xG 分解
AVS
Estrela Amadora
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
34%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Weakened offense for Estrela Amadora: Only 54% of this season's goalscorers are available, significantly reducing their attacking power
- Clash of vulnerable defenses: AVS (avg 2.45 goals conceded) and Estrela Amadora (avg 1.78 goals conceded) have two of the weakest defenses in the league
- Contrasting attacking trends: AVS shows improved form in attack (avg 1.4 goals in recent games), while Estrela's offense has sharply declined (avg 0.6 goals)
风险因素
- Estrela Amadora's away weakness: The team concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game on the road
- Lack of goal threat: Both teams average only 2.8 shots on target, which could indicate a low number of clear-cut chances
概述
In the Liga Portugal relegation battle, AVS (18th place, 8 points) hosts Estrela Amadora (12th place, 23 points)
The match takes place on February 28, 2026, at 4:30 PM at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
This is a crucial game for bottom-of-the-table AVS to stay in contention
The mathematical analysis suggests a very open match, with a 36% probability for a home win, 34% for a draw, and 31% for an away win
近期状态
Current form AVS: DLLWL
In the last 5 games, there has been 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their only victory was a convincing 3-0 home win against Estoril
Current form Estrela Amadora: LDWLL
Their record in the last 5 games is identical with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
They are currently on a two-game losing streak
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
AVS has one of the weakest attacks in the league with only 18 goals in 22 games (avg 0.82 per game)
Estrela Amadora is slightly more dangerous with 26 goals in 23 matches (avg 1.13)
Both defensive lines are very vulnerable: AVS concedes an average of 2.45 goals, while Estrela Amadora concedes 1.78
Estrela's defense is particularly challenged away from home, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game
历史交锋
The record is perfectly balanced in 3 previous head-to-head encounters
Both teams have won 1 match each, with 1 draw
The goal difference is 4-2 in favor of Estrela Amadora
The last meeting was a clear 3-0 victory for Estrela Amadora
关键球员
For AVS, Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete (3 season goals) and Tomané (2 goals, 1 assist) could pose a threat, supported by Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola (1 goal, 2 assists)
For Estrela Amadora, all eyes will be on Jovane Cabral (4 season goals)
Abraham Marcus (3 goals, 3 assists) and Paulo Moreira (3 goals) are also key offensive players
门将
Adriel is in goal for AVS
The team has only managed one clean sheet this season
On the other side, Renan Ribeiro is the goalkeeper for Estrela Amadora
He and his team have already achieved 5 clean sheets
影响因素
AVS has a poor record at home, but concedes slightly fewer goals (1.92 per game) than away (3.1)
The last 5 games at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves have averaged 2.8 goals
However, both teams scored in only one of these five matches
This suggests rather one-sided game outcomes