Liga Portugal
Tondela - Santa Clara
03/01/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
12%0:1
10%2:1
7%xG 分解
Tondela
Santa Clara
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
33%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Pure relegation battle: Both teams are level on 18 points, suggesting an intense and cautious match
- Contrasting form curves: Tondela is unbeaten in four games, while Santa Clara has been waiting for a win for five matches
- Historical advantage: Tondela has not lost any of the last five duels against Santa Clara (3 wins, 2 draws) and dominates the head-to-head record
风险因素
- Weak offense on both sides: With less than 0.8 goals per game each, a low-scoring match is likely, increasing the probability of a draw (calculated at 33%)
- Reduced goal threat for Tondela: With the confirmed lineup, only 59% of the seasonal goal production is available
- Tondela's home weakness: The team concedes an average of 1.56 goals at home and struggles to score themselves
概述
A crucial duel in the Liga Portugal relegation battle takes place on March 1, 2026, at 3:30 PM
Tondela, in 17th place, hosts Santa Clara, in 16th, at the Estádio João Cardoso
Both teams are level on 18 points, making this match hugely important for staying in the league
近期状态
Tondela is showing improving form and is unbeaten in four games
Their form in the last five games: LDDDW (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)
Santa Clara, on the other hand, is in a crisis and has been winless for five games
Their form in the last five games: LLLLD (1 draw, 4 losses)
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Both teams are among the weakest offensively in the league
Tondela scores an average of only 0.74 goals per game, Santa Clara 0.78
Defensively, Santa Clara is slightly more stable with 1.26 goals conceded per game compared to Tondela's 1.57
In home games, Tondela struggles, conceding an average of 1.56 goals while scoring only 0.78
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Tondela has been clearly dominant
Tondela won 3 of these matches, while 2 ended in a draw
Santa Clara has not won any of the last five games against Tondela
The goal difference also clearly favors Tondela at 10:4
关键球员
For Tondela, attacker Maranhão is the most important offensive player with 6 goals this season
Defender Brayan Medina is on a rising form trend and is a pillar of the defense
Bebeto is also a key part of the defensive line
For Santa Clara, Vinícius Lopes is the top scorer with 5 goals
Serginho has already contributed 3 goals and 2 assists and is also showing rising form
Gabriel Silva has scored 2 goals this season
门将
The goalkeeper matchup is balanced
Tondela's goalkeeper Bernardo has kept 4 clean sheets in 23 games
Gabriel Batista of Santa Clara has 5 clean sheets in 23 appearances
影响因素
Tondela has a poor record at home this season, with only 0.78 goals scored per game and 1.56 conceded
The last five games at the Estádio João Cardoso have been rather low-scoring, with an average of 2.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of Tondela's last 5 home games