Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora - Gil Vicente
03/08/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.7
1.7
1:1
13%1:2
10%0:2
10%2:1
6%1:3
6%xG 分解
Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
27%
客胜
52%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
48%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Performance Gap: Gil Vicente is significantly higher in the table than Estrela Amadora and has a 52% win probability
- Form: Gil Vicente shows a positive form trend, while Estrela Amadora's goal production is stagnating
- Offensive Strength: Gil Vicente is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals) than their season average (1.6 goals)
风险因素
- Jefferson Encada is missing for Estrela Amadora, accounting for 18.9% of their usual assists
- Estrela Amadora's current goal production is 0.8 goals, below their season average of 1.3 goals
概述
Estrela Amadora (12th place, 24 points) host Gil Vicente (5th place, 40 points) at the Estádio José Gomes. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 8, 2026, 4:30 PM. Gil Vicente is fighting for a European spot, while Estrela Amadora needs points to avoid relegation.
近期状态
Estrela Amadora's form across all competitions is DWLLD. The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their last game ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Gil Vicente's form across all competitions is WWWLL. The team recorded 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their last two games were losses.
统计数据
Estrela Amadora averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded per game. At home, the average is 1.08 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded. The team kept 6 clean sheets this season. Both teams scored in 11 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 12 matches.
Gil Vicente averages 1.46 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded per game. Away, the average is 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded. They kept 10 clean sheets this season. Both teams scored in 11 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 11 matches.
The venue has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game, with 20% BTTS and 40% Over 2.5.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente leads with 2 wins compared to Estrela Amadora's 1 win, with 2 draws. Gil Vicente scored 7 goals, while Estrela Amadora scored 3. The last encounter saw Gil Vicente win 2-0 on October 4, 2025. Gil Vicente has shown recent dominance in direct duels.
关键球员
For Estrela Amadora, Jovane Cabral (4 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 7.10) and Abraham Marcus (3 goals, 3 assists, avg rating 7.02) stand out. Paulo Moreira (3 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.61) is also an important midfielder.
For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa (6 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 6.99) and Luís André Leite Esteves (3 goals, 6 assists, avg rating 7.27) are crucial. Santiago García González (5 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.13) also contributes to the offense.
门将
Renan Ribeiro is Estrela Amadora's starting goalkeeper with an average season rating of 6.76. His team kept 6 clean sheets this season.
Lucão is Gil Vicente's starting goalkeeper with an average season rating of 6.67. His team achieved 10 clean sheets.
影响因素
Estrela Amadora scores an average of 1.08 goals at home and concedes 1.46 goals. Gil Vicente scores 1.5 goals away and concedes 1.3 goals. The Estádio José Gomes, a grass pitch, has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in only 1 out of 5 games.