Liga Portugal
Tondela - Rio Ave
03/09/2026, 08:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.7
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%2:0
12%2:1
8%xG 分解
Tondela
Rio Ave
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
30%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis sees Tondela as favorites for a home win with 52%
- Form trend: Tondela is in a positive form phase with 1 win and 4 draws, while Rio Ave has a negative streak
- Offensive strength: Tondela is currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (0.9) according to advanced statistics
风险因素
- Rio Ave concedes an average of 1.85 goals per away game
- Rio Ave has an average of only 2.4 shots on target, indicating few attempts on goal
概述
Tondela (17th place, 19 points) host Rio Ave (16th place, 21 points) at Estádio João Cardoso
This Liga Portugal match takes place on March 9, 2026, 9:15 PM
Both teams are deep in the relegation battle, fighting for crucial points to avoid relegation
近期状态
Tondela are unbeaten in their last five matches with 1 win and 4 draws (DDDWD)
Their last game ended in a 2-2 draw against Santa Clara
Rio Ave is in a difficult phase with 4 losses and 1 draw in their last five matches (LLLLD)
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Famalicão
统计数据
Tondela scores an average of 0.79 goals per game and concedes 1.58 goals
At home, these values are 0.82 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per home game
Rio Ave scores an average of 0.96 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per match
Away from home, this amounts to 0.92 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per away game
At Estádio João Cardoso, an average of 2.2 goals per game are scored, and both teams score in 60% of matches
历史交锋
In the 5 direct encounters so far, Rio Ave has the upper hand with 3 wins compared to Tondela's 1 win
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 10:7 in favor of Rio Ave
The last meeting was won by Rio Ave away on October 5, 2025, with a 3-0 score
关键球员
For Tondela, Maranhão shows rising form with 6 goals and 1 assist in 24 games
Brayan Medina is also in rising form with 1 assist and an average rating of 6.84
Bernardo, the goalkeeper, has a rating of 6.95 in 24 appearances and shows an upward trend
For Rio Ave, Jalen Blesa stands out with 1 goal in 4 appearances and rising form
Marios Vrousai (1 goal, 1 assist) and Dario Spikic (2 goals) are other key offensive players
门将
Bernardo is Tondela's goalkeeper and has recorded 4 clean sheets this season
For Rio Ave, Ennio Van Der Gouw is in goal, and the team has achieved 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Tondela has scored an average of 0.82 goals and conceded 1.45 goals in home games
At Estádio João Cardoso, an average of 2.2 goals have been scored in the last 5 matches
In 60% of games at this stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%