🇵🇹

Liga Portugal

Alverca - AVS

03/07/2026, 03:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Alverca
1.8
Total xG
2.6
AVS
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
ALVAVS

Alverca

排名优势 (第10位 vs 第18位, 相差8位)
+0.07
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1球)
全员可用

AVS

防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+1.25
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.52
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第10位, 相差8位)
-0.07
状态上升 (1 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.01
Pedro Lima Barros未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

26%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

74%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Favorites: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Alverca with a 59% probability
  • Home strength meets away weakness: Alverca averages 1.0 goals at home, while AVS concedes an alarming 3.09 goals away
  • Form and league position: Alverca is unbeaten in their last 4 games and sits 8 places above bottom-placed AVS
风险因素
  • AVS concedes an average of 3.09 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • AVS is counter-attacking oriented (34% possession) with only 2.0 shots on target (avgShotsOnTarget)
概述

Alverca (10th place, 27 points) host AVS (18th place, 9 points) at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 7, 2026, 3:30 PM. Alverca is in the mid-table, while AVS is at the bottom and desperately needs points.

近期状态

Alverca's form is DLDDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. Their last match ended in a draw. AVS shows a form of LLWLD, achieving 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games. Their last match also ended in a draw.

统计数据

Alverca averages 1.0 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.63 goals. This season, Alverca kept 5 clean sheets. In home games, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded, with 4 clean sheets. AVS averages 0.75 goals scored per game and concedes 2.38 goals, with 2 clean sheets this season. Away from home, AVS averages 0.73 goals scored and concedes an alarming 3.09 goals, with no clean sheets. At Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, an average of 2.2 goals are scored per game, and both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these two teams. Alverca won this single match, while AVS has no wins and there have been no draws. The goal difference is 3:1 in favor of Alverca. The last encounter was won by Alverca with a score of 3:1 on October 4, 2025.

关键球员

For Alverca, Marko Milovanović is a key player with 7 goals and 1 assist in 23 appearances, with his form rising at 0.41 goals per 90 minutes in the last 5 games. Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos contributed 2 goals and 3 assists in 20 games. Figueiredo scored 3 goals and 1 assist in 17 appearances, adding 1 goal in the last 5 games. For AVS, Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete shows rising form with 3 season goals in 17 appearances and 2 goals in the last 5 games (0.85 goals per 90 minutes). Tomané has 2 goals and 1 assist in 20 games, with one goal and one assist in the last 5 games. Ángel Algobia Esteves scored 1 goal in 17 appearances and also contributed one goal in the last 5 games.

门将

Alverca's goalkeeper, André Nogueira Gomes, had an average rating of 6.62 in 22 season appearances. His team recorded 5 clean sheets. For AVS, Adriel played in 7 season games and achieved an average rating of 6.70. AVS achieved 2 clean sheets.

影响因素

The match will be played on a grass surface at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Alverca scores an average of 1.0 goals at home and concedes 1.45 goals. AVS concedes an average of 3.09 goals away from home, while scoring 0.73 goals. The stadium has seen an average of 2.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 games.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。