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Liga Portugal

Benfica - Porto

03/08/2026, 06:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Benfica
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Porto
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BENPOR

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.59
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.4倍)
-0.57
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.10
Fredrik Aursnes未进大名单 (3球, 3助攻)
Leandro Barreiro替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.74
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.5倍)
-0.35
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.16
Pablo Rosario替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Zaidu Sanusi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

68%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Benfica's Home Strength and Head-to-Head: 3 wins in the last 5 direct duels and an average of 2.15 home goals
  • Porto's Exceptional Defense: Only 0.33 goals conceded per game this season, 17 clean sheets
  • Pipeline Forecast: Benfica has a 38% chance of a home win according to mathematical analysis
风险因素
  • Benfica's goal average recently decreased from 1.9 to 1.6
  • Porto's goal average recently decreased from 1.9 to 1.4
概述

Benfica (3rd place, 58 points) host league leaders Porto (1st place, 65 points) at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

This Liga Portugal match takes place on March 8, 2026, at 6:00 PM

For Benfica, it's about closing the gap to the top and maintaining their unbeaten season record

近期状态

Benfica's form in the last five matches is WLWLW

This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses

Porto's form in the last five matches is LDWWW

This represents 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Both teams won their last league match

统计数据

Benfica scores an average of 2.13 goals per season and concedes 0.58 goals

At home, they average 2.15 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded

Porto scores an average of 1.96 goals and concedes only 0.33 goals per game

Away, the figures are 1.92 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded

Benfica has 12 clean sheets, Porto has an impressive 17

At the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 direct encounters, Benfica recorded 3 wins, Porto 1 win, and there was 1 draw

Benfica scored a total of 9 goals, while Porto scored 7 goals

The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw

Recent results show a dominance by Benfica in these matchups

关键球员

Vangelis Pavlidis is Benfica's top scorer with 21 season goals and 4 assists, averaging a rating of 7.38

Nicolás Otamendi is an important defensive player with a season rating of 7.34

Richard Ríos shows a rising form with a rating of 7.54 in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.00

For Porto, Jan Bednarek stands out with 1 season goal and a current form rating of 7.38

Gabri Veiga has contributed 1 goal and 5 assists to the offense so far

Martim Fernandes scored 1 goal in his last 5 games and played all matches

门将

Anatoliy Trubin (22 appearances, avg rating 6.76) is in goal for Benfica, keeping 12 clean sheets with his team

Porto's goalkeeper Diogo Costa (24 appearances, avg rating 6.94) achieved an impressive 17 clean sheets with his team

影响因素

Benfica's home record is very strong, with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.62 goals conceded

The Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica tends to favor high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match

The pitch surface is natural grass

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