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Liga Portugal

Porto - Moreirense

03/15/2026, 08:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Porto
1.7
Total xG
2.3
Moreirense
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

2:0

14%

1:1

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
PORMOR

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.94
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.20
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.04
Alberto Costa未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Pablo Rosario替补席 (2球, 1助攻)

Moreirense

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.04
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto未进大名单 (1球, 6助攻)
Luís Semedo替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

26%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

74%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Favorites: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 61%
  • Form strength: Porto is in excellent form with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches
  • Home strength: Porto scored an average of 2.0 goals in home games and conceded only 0.33 goals
风险因素
  • Porto has only 3 days rest since the last match
  • Moreirense has an average of only 2.8 shots on target (average)
概述

Porto (1st place, 66 points) hosts Moreirense (7th place, 35 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 15, 2026, 9:30 PM. Porto leads the table and aims to extend their lead, while Moreirense is positioned in the upper midfield.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Porto is in excellent form with WWWDW in their last five matches

The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 draw with 0 losses in their last five games

Moreirense's form is more inconsistent with LWLDD in their last five encounters

Moreirense has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in these games

Porto's form trend is stable, while Moreirense's goal production is stagnant (1.0 goals) according to analysis, with a season average of 1.3 goals

统计数据

Porto scores an average of 1.96 goals per game and concedes only 0.4 goals per match

At home, Porto is particularly strong with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded

The team has achieved 17 clean sheets this season

Moreirense scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per game

Away from home, Moreirense scores an average of 1.25 goals and concedes 1.5 goals

The Estádio Do Dragão sees an average of 2.8 goals per game

In 3 out of 5 matches at the Estádio Do Dragão, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Porto has secured all victories so far

Porto won all 5 matches, Moreirense won none, and there were no draws

The goal difference in these encounters is 15:3 in favor of Porto

The last meeting ended in a 2:1 victory for Porto on October 27, 2025

Porto has dominated recent direct confrontations

关键球员

Porto relies on midfielder Victor Froholdt, who contributed 4 season goals and 4 assists

Pepê in attack has scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists this season

Midfielder Gabri Veiga shines with 1 goal and 6 assists

For Moreirense, Travassos in defense is a key player with 4 season goals and 3 assists

Midfielder Alan de Souza Guimarães contributed 3 goals and 5 assists

Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga in defense is a threat with 3 goals

门将

Diogo Costa, Porto's goalkeeper, has kept 17 clean sheets this season

Andrê Ferreira, Moreirense's goalkeeper, has achieved 7 clean sheets

影响因素

Porto holds a strong home advantage at the Estádio Do Dragão, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.33 goals conceded at home

The stadium is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

In 60% of the last 5 games at the Estádio Do Dragão, both teams scored

In 60% of the last 5 games at the Estádio Do Dragão, over 2.5 goals were scored

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